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Super League

Referee: D Grundbacher

Yverdon

T S S T T

3–1

Full-time

Luzern

T U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Yverdon Luzern

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,0

2,3

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

2,2

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 36/36 matches

Win Ø 35%

33%

36%

Points per game

1,2

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

67%

44%

Both score Ø 63%

64%

61%

Average goals

3,3

2,6

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,03 xG 1,63

41% Possession 59%

18 Shots 17

8 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 7

1 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 9

4 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Yverdon 9. · Luzern 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	36	21	8	7	+38	+5.8	71
2	Lugano	36	20	5	11	+19	+11.1	65
3	Servette	36	17	10	9	+15	+29.0	61
4	Zurich	36	14	12	10	+10	+0.3	54
5	St. Gallen	36	15	9	12	+8	+13.5	54
6	Luzern	36	13	10	13	-3	+1.7	49
7	Winterthur	36	13	10	13	-6	-6.8	49
8	Basel	36	12	9	15	-8	-3.9	45
9	Yverdon	36	12	7	17	-23	-18.4	43
10	Lausanne	36	10	11	15	-9	+1.4	41
11	Grasshoppers	36	10	7	19	-7	-11.4	37
12	Lausanne Ouchy	36	6	8	22	-34	-22.2	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	18	14	2	2	+34	+8.2	44
2	St. Gallen	18	11	4	3	+16	+9.2	37
3	Servette	18	11	4	3	+15	+19.7	37
4	Yverdon	18	11	4	3	+8	-4.6	37
5	Lugano	18	10	3	5	+11	+9.5	33
6	Luzern	18	9	5	4	+6	+2.9	32
7	Zurich	18	8	7	3	+7	-0.3	31
8	Winterthur	18	9	4	5	+2	+0.7	31
9	Grasshoppers	18	8	3	7	+8	-3.4	27
10	Lausanne	18	7	6	5	+5	+7.0	27
11	Basel	18	7	5	6	+3	-0.2	26
12	Lausanne Ouchy	18	3	6	9	-17	-7.8	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	18	10	2	6	+8	+1.6	32
2	Young Boys	18	7	6	5	+4	-2.4	27
3	Servette	18	6	6	6	+0	+9.2	24
4	Zurich	18	6	5	7	+3	+0.6	23
5	Basel	18	5	4	9	-11	-3.7	19
6	Winterthur	18	4	6	8	-8	-7.5	18
7	St. Gallen	18	4	5	9	-8	+4.3	17
8	Luzern	18	4	5	9	-9	-1.2	17
9	Lausanne	18	3	5	10	-14	-5.6	14
10	Lausanne Ouchy	18	3	2	13	-17	-14.5	11
11	Grasshoppers	18	2	4	12	-15	-8.0	10
12	Yverdon	18	1	3	14	-31	-13.8	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.