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Super League

Referee: L Fähndrich

Young Boys

S U S S S

0–1

Full-time

Lugano

S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Young Boys Lugano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

2,2

1,7

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 56%

59%

53%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

53%

62%

Both score Ø 53%

53%

Average goals

3,0

3,1

Scored

2,0

1,8

Conceded

0,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,71 xG 0,50

57% Possession 43%

19 Shots 5

6 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 0

1 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Young Boys 1. · Lugano 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	34	20	8	6	+37	+4.0	68
2	Servette	34	17	9	8	+16	+27.9	60
3	Lugano	34	18	5	11	+16	+12.6	59
4	St. Gallen	34	15	8	11	+10	+15.2	53
5	Winterthur	34	13	10	11	-2	-7.1	49
6	Zurich	34	12	12	10	+7	+0.3	48
7	Luzern	35	12	10	13	-5	+1.7	46
8	Yverdon	34	12	7	15	-19	-18.6	43
9	Basel	35	11	9	15	-10	-5.3	42
10	Lausanne	35	10	11	14	-7	+1.5	41
11	Grasshoppers	35	9	7	19	-9	-11.1	34
12	Lausanne Ouchy	34	5	8	21	-34	-21.1	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	16	13	2	1	+33	+6.4	41
2	Servette	18	11	4	3	+15	+19.7	37
3	Yverdon	18	11	4	3	+8	-4.6	37
4	St. Gallen	17	11	3	3	+16	+10.3	36
5	Luzern	18	9	5	4	+6	+2.9	32
6	Winterthur	17	9	4	4	+4	+0.5	31
7	Lugano	17	9	3	5	+9	+9.7	30
8	Zurich	17	7	7	3	+6	-0.4	28
9	Lausanne	17	7	6	4	+7	+7.0	27
10	Grasshoppers	17	7	3	7	+6	-3.1	24
11	Basel	17	6	5	6	+1	-1.6	23
12	Lausanne Ouchy	17	2	6	9	-19	-8.0	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	17	9	2	6	+7	+2.8	29
2	Young Boys	18	7	6	5	+4	-2.4	27
3	Servette	16	6	5	5	+1	+8.2	23
4	Zurich	17	5	5	7	+1	+0.7	20
5	Basel	18	5	4	9	-11	-3.7	19
6	Winterthur	17	4	6	7	-6	-7.7	18
7	St. Gallen	17	4	5	8	-6	+4.9	17
8	Luzern	17	3	5	9	-11	-1.3	14
9	Lausanne	18	3	5	10	-14	-5.6	14
10	Lausanne Ouchy	17	3	2	12	-15	-13.1	11
11	Grasshoppers	18	2	4	12	-15	-8.0	10
12	Yverdon	16	1	3	12	-27	-14.0	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.