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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: S Hauge
Moss
S T T T U
3–3
Full-time
Stabaek
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moss Stabaek
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
5,2
Scored
1,7
4,0
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+2,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 47%
33%
60%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
83%
60%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
60%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
1,5
2,4
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Moss 9. · Stabaek 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Stabaek 5 3 2 0 +8 11
2 Egersund 5 3 2 0 +4 11
3 Kongsvinger 5 3 1 1 +0 10
4 Levanger 6 2 3 1 +5 9
5 Sogndal 6 2 3 1 +2 9
6 Bryne 6 3 0 3 +1 9
7 Valerenga 6 2 2 2 -2 8
8 Raufoss 6 2 1 3 +0 7
9 Moss 6 2 1 3 -3 7
10 Mjondalen 5 1 3 1 +0 6
11 Ranheim 6 1 3 2 +0 6
12 Lyn 5 1 3 1 +0 6
13 Sandnes ULF 6 1 3 2 -1 6
14 Aalesund 6 1 2 3 -6 5
15 Asane 5 0 4 1 -1 4
16 Start 6 0 3 3 -7 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Moss Stabaek
S. Elmi 🟨
37′
43′
B. Diabaté 0–1
Half-time 0–1
K. Strande 🟨
48′
49′
O. Spiten-Nysæter 0–2
A. Potur 🟨
50′
50′
🟨 A. Andresen
51′
S. Olderheim 0–3
H. Gjesdal 🔁
↦ K. Strande
61′
E. Björgólfs­son 🔁
↦ S. Elmi
61′
62′
🔁 W. Wendt
↦ O. Spiten-Nysæter
63′
🔁 R. Vinge
↦ F. Riise
O. Kjeilen Stavdal 🔁
↦ A. Håpnes
69′
S. Martinsen-Wold 🔁
↦ S. Pedersen
69′
1–3 E. Björgólfs­son
73′
2–3 I. Hoffmann
77′
3–3 E. Björgólfs­son
81′
85′
🔁 C. Hegardt
↦ S. Olderheim
85′
🔁 K. Opseth
↦ B. Diabaté
A. Hussein 🔁
↦ I. Hoffmann
92′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Moss

1 M. Ranmark
3 K. Strande
21 I. Hoffmann
5 I. Kukleci
2 M. Andresen
18 S. Elmi
20 A. Potur
6 A. Håpnes
10 B. Hegland
9 S. Pedersen
11 T. Jakobsen
Bench (9)
4 H. Gjesdal
19 E. Björgólfs­son
16 O. Kjeilen Stavdal
22 S. Martinsen-Wold
15 A. Hussein
8 V. Hellestø
12 E. Myrhaug Bachke
14 A. Lajqi
26 B. Isufi

Coach: T. Myhre

Stabaek

1 S. Rossbach
4 N. Næss
2 K. Pedersen
19 F. Riise
11 N. Walstad
6 M. Christensen
14 T. Roberts
20 A. Andresen
17 S. Olderheim
9 B. Diabaté
21 O. Spiten-Nysæter
Bench (9)
27 W. Wendt
7 R. Vinge
8 C. Hegardt
22 K. Opseth
3 J. Øya
10 H. Geelmuyden
23 M. Ulla
28 B. Tobiassen
29 K. Ekorness

Coach: B. Bradley

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Hauge · 97 kamper i vår database

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.