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Europa League
Referee: I Kružliak
Sp Lisbon
S S S S S
1–1
Full-time
Young Boys
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Lisbon Young Boys
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
4,8
3,2
Scored
4,3
1,8
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+3,8
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 7/1 matches
Win Ø 29%
57%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 86%
71%
100%
Both score Ø 93%
86%
100%
Average goals
2,9
4,0
Scored
1,9
1,0
Conceded
1,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,50 xG 1,03
64% Possession 36%
16 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 0
3 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 19
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sp Lisbon Young Boys
1–0 V. Gyökeres
Trincão
13′
Half-time 1–0
Nuno Santos 🔁
↦ Gonçalo Inácio
46′
61′
🔁 L. Blum
↦ S. Janko
61′
🔁 N. Persson
↦ J. Hadjam
61′
🔁 S. Ganvoula
↦ C. Itten
K. Koindredi 🔁
↦ M. Hjulmand
63′
Pote 🔁
↦ Trincão
63′
67′
🔁 J. Mvuka
↦ M. Elia
78′
🔁 Ł. Łakomy
↦ S. Lauper
Luís Neto 🔁
↦ Eduardo Quaresma
80′
84′
S. Ganvoula 1–1
Iván Fresneda 🔁
↦ Ricardo Esgaio
85′
86′
🟨 Aurele Amenda
94′
🟨 Fabian Lustenberger
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sp Lisbon

3-4-3
1 Adán G
72 Eduardo Quaresma D
26 O. Diomande D
25 Gonçalo Inácio D
47 Ricardo Esgaio M
42 M. Hjulmand M
23 Daniel Bragança M
2 Matheus Reis M
10 M. Edwards F
9 V. Gyökeres F
17 Trincão F
Bench (12)
11 Nuno Santos
80 K. Koindredi
8 Pote
13 Luís Neto
22 Iván Fresneda
21 Geny Catamo
4 S. Coates
86 Rafael Nel
5 H. Morita
45 Rafael Pontelo
3 J. St. Juste
12 F. Israel

Coach: Rúben Amorim

Young Boys

4-2-3-1
26 D. von Ballmoos G
17 S. Janko D
4 A. Amenda D
28 F. Lustenberger D
3 J. Hadjam D
30 S. Lauper M
20 C. Niasse M
77 Joël Monteiro M
39 D. Males M
15 M. Elia M
9 C. Itten F
Bench (10)
27 L. Blum
19 N. Persson
35 S. Ganvoula
32 J. Mvuka
8 Ł. Łakomy
47 M. Deme
1 A. Racioppi
40 D. Marzino
58 M. Seiler
11 E. Colley

Coach: R. Wicky

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

I Kružliak · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.