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Europa League
Referee: B Bastien
Young Boys
S T S S U
1–3
Full-time
Sp Lisbon
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Young Boys Sp Lisbon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
67%
100%
Points per game
2,2
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,2
5,0
Scored
2,2
4,7
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+4,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

0,49 xG 1,69
49% Possession 51%
11 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
4 Offside 1
21 Free kicks against 2
5 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0

Match report

Young Boys Sp Lisbon
Mohamed Camara 🟨
22′
31′
⚽ A. Amenda 1–0
own goal
Ebrima Colley 🟨
40′
41′
⚽ V. Gyökeres 1–1
2–1 F. Ugrinic ⚽
42′
Half-time 2–1
C. Niasse 🔁
↦ F. Ugrinic
46′
48′
⚽ Gonçalo Inácio 2–2
Pote
Łukasz Łakomy 🟨
54′
60′
🔁 H. Morita
↦ M. Hjulmand
S. Ganvoula 🔁
↦ C. Itten
61′
Joël Monteiro 🔁
↦ E. Colley
61′
M. Elia 🔁
↦ J. Mvuka
61′
74′
🔁 Geny Catamo
↦ V. Gyökeres
74′
🔁 Trincão
↦ Pote
D. Males 🔁
↦ Ł. Łakomy
80′
84′
🔁 K. Koindredi
↦ Daniel Bragança
85′
🔁 Rafael Nel
↦ Nuno Santos
Mohamed Camara 🟨
88′
Mohamed Camara 🟥
88′
Meschack Elia 🟨
89′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Young Boys

4-3-3
26 D. von Ballmoos G
27 L. Blum D
13 M. Camara D
4 A. Amenda D
3 J. Hadjam D
8 Ł. Łakomy M
30 S. Lauper M
7 F. Ugrinic M
32 J. Mvuka F
9 C. Itten F
11 E. Colley F
Bench (11)
20 C. Niasse
35 S. Ganvoula
77 Joël Monteiro
15 M. Elia
39 D. Males
19 N. Persson
47 M. Deme
28 F. Lustenberger
1 A. Racioppi
58 M. Seiler
40 D. Marzino

Coach: R. Wicky

Sp Lisbon

3-4-2-1
1 Adán G
72 Eduardo Quaresma D
25 Gonçalo Inácio D
2 Matheus Reis D
47 Ricardo Esgaio M
23 Daniel Bragança M
42 M. Hjulmand M
11 Nuno Santos M
10 M. Edwards F
8 Pote F
9 V. Gyökeres F
Bench (9)
5 H. Morita
21 Geny Catamo
17 Trincão
80 K. Koindredi
86 Rafael Nel
99 Francisco Silva
45 Rafael Pontelo
13 Luís Neto
12 F. Israel

Coach: Rúben Amorim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

B Bastien · 180 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.