La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Las Palmas
Valencia
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | +37 | +23.3 | 61 |
| 2 |
Girona
|
24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | +23 | +6.7 | 56 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | +17 | +26.9 | 50 |
| 4 |
Ath Madrid
|
23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | +20 | +12.8 | 48 |
| 5 |
Ath Bilbao
|
23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | +21 | +17.2 | 45 |
| 6 |
Betis
|
24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | +3 | -2.5 | 38 |
| 7 |
Sociedad
|
24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | +10 | +3.0 | 37 |
| 8 |
Valencia
|
23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | +2 | -1.8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Las Palmas
|
23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | +3 | -13.8 | 32 |
| 10 |
Getafe
|
23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | -2 | -5.9 | 30 |
| 11 |
Osasuna
|
24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -9 | -5.8 | 29 |
| 12 |
Alaves
|
24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | -7 | +3.5 | 27 |
| 13 |
Villarreal
|
24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | -12 | -5.3 | 25 |
| 14 |
Vallecano
|
23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | -10 | -2.8 | 24 |
| 15 |
Sevilla
|
23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -8 | -10.3 | 20 |
| 16 |
Celta
|
23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -8 | -3.0 | 20 |
| 17 |
Mallorca
|
23 | 3 | 11 | 9 | -11 | -4.8 | 20 |
| 18 |
Cadiz
|
24 | 2 | 11 | 11 | -18 | -15.4 | 17 |
| 19 |
Granada
|
23 | 2 | 6 | 15 | -22 | -12.9 | 12 |
| 20 |
Almeria
|
23 | 0 | 6 | 17 | -29 | -9.2 | 6 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Álvaro Valles
G
Alex Suárez
D
Saul Coco
D
Mika Mármol
D
Sergi Cardona
D
Marvin Park
M
Javier Muñoz
M
Máximo Perrone
M
Kirian Rodríguez
M
Munir El Haddadi
M
Sandro Ramírez
F
Coach: García Pimienta
Giorgi Mamardashvili
G
Dimitri Foulquier
D
Cristhian Mosquera
D
Cenk Özkaçar
D
José Luis Gayà
D
Fran Pérez
M
Hugo Guillamón
M
Pepelu
M
Javier Guerra
M
Hugo Duro
F
Coach: Rubén Baraja
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Granada
Las Palmas
Las Palmas
Real Madrid
Vallecano
Las Palmas
Las Palmas
Villarreal
Tenerife
Las Palmas
Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez · 51 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.