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La Liga
Referee: Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez
Las Palmas
T S S T U
2–0
Full-time
Valencia
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Valencia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 41%
39%
43%
Points per game
1,4
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
30%
48%
Both score Ø 46%
43%
48%
Average goals
1,9
2,4
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
0,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,27 xG 0,43
73% Possession 27%
8 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 0
1 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Las Palmas 9. · Valencia 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Real Madrid 24 19 4 1 +37 +23.3 61
2 Girona 24 17 5 2 +23 +6.7 56
3 Barcelona 23 15 5 3 +17 +26.9 50
4 Ath Madrid 23 15 3 5 +20 +12.8 48
5 Ath Bilbao 23 13 6 4 +21 +17.2 45
6 Betis 24 9 11 4 +3 -2.5 38
7 Sociedad 24 9 10 5 +10 +3.0 37
8 Valencia 23 10 5 8 +2 -1.8 35
9 Las Palmas 23 9 5 9 +3 -13.8 32
10 Getafe 23 7 9 7 -2 -5.9 30
11 Osasuna 24 8 5 11 -9 -5.8 29
12 Alaves 24 7 6 11 -7 +3.5 27
13 Villarreal 24 6 7 11 -12 -5.3 25
14 Vallecano 23 5 9 9 -10 -2.8 24
15 Sevilla 23 4 8 11 -8 -10.3 20
16 Celta 23 4 8 11 -8 -3.0 20
17 Mallorca 23 3 11 9 -11 -4.8 20
18 Cadiz 24 2 11 11 -18 -15.4 17
19 Granada 23 2 6 15 -22 -12.9 12
20 Almeria 23 0 6 17 -29 -9.2 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Las Palmas Valencia
Half-time 0–0
Mika Mármol 🟨
48′
67′
🔁 Peter González
↦ Selim Amallah
74′
🔁 Sergi Canós
↦ Fran Pérez
74′
🔁 Jesús Vázquez
↦ Javier Guerra
Enzo Loiodice 🔁
↦ Máximo Perrone
80′
Alberto Moleiro 🔁
↦ Sandro Ramírez
80′
Marc Cardona 🔁
↦ Munir El Haddadi
83′
86′
🔁 Alberto Mari
↦ Hugo Duro
1–0 Alex Suárez
Marc Cardona
89′
Fabio González 🔁
↦ Javier Muñoz
90′
Julian Araujo 🔁
↦ Marvin Park
90′
2–0 Marc Cardona
95′
Marc Cardona 🟨
95′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Las Palmas

4-5-1
13 Álvaro Valles G
4 Alex Suárez D
23 Saul Coco D
15 Mika Mármol D
3 Sergi Cardona D
2 Marvin Park M
5 Javier Muñoz M
8 Máximo Perrone M
20 Kirian Rodríguez M
17 Munir El Haddadi M
9 Sandro Ramírez F
Bench (12)
10 Alberto Moleiro
12 Enzo Loiodice
19 Marc Cardona
28 Julian Araujo
25 Fabio González
35 Alex González
30 Álvaro Killane
31 Juanma Herzog
18 Daley Sinkgraven
7 Cristian Herrera
24 Pejiño
16 Sory Kaba

Coach: García Pimienta

Valencia

4-4-2
25 Giorgi Mamardashvili G
20 Dimitri Foulquier D
3 Cristhian Mosquera D
15 Cenk Özkaçar D
14 José Luis Gayà D
23 Fran Pérez M
6 Hugo Guillamón M
18 Pepelu M
8 Javier Guerra M
9 Hugo Duro F
19 Selim Amallah F
Bench (11)
11 Peter González
21 Jesús Vázquez
7 Sergi Canós
22 Alberto Mari
13 Cristian Rivero
1 Jaume Doménech
4 Mouctar Diakhaby
31 Rubén Iranzo
34 Yarek Gasiorowski
17 Roman Yaremchuk
27 Pablo Gozálbez

Coach: Rubén Baraja

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,72
U
2,99
B
2,93
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,57
U2,5 ✓
1,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.