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LaLiga2
Referee: Jon González
Sp Gijon
U U S T T
1–0
Full-time
Oviedo
U U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Oviedo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 38%
40%
36%
Points per game
1,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
40%
28%
Both score Ø 44%
40%
48%
Average goals
2,1
1,9
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
0,9
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
12 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 5
11 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sp Gijon 7. · Oviedo 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 26 13 8 5 +20 47
2 Eibar 25 12 6 7 +11 42
3 Ferrol 25 11 9 5 +5 42
4 Espanol 25 11 8 6 +11 41
5 Valladolid 25 12 4 9 +3 40
6 Elche 26 11 7 8 +2 40
7 Sp Gijon 25 10 9 6 +8 39
8 Oviedo 25 9 11 5 +10 38
9 Levante 26 9 11 6 +1 38
10 Zaragoza 25 9 9 7 +5 36
11 Santander 25 10 6 9 +2 36
12 Burgos 25 10 6 9 +0 36
13 Eldense 26 8 11 7 -2 35
14 Mirandes 25 8 9 8 +3 33
15 Tenerife 25 9 6 10 -1 33
16 Huesca 26 6 10 10 -2 28
17 Albacete 25 6 8 11 -9 26
18 Cartagena 25 6 7 12 -11 25
19 Villarreal B 25 6 7 12 -14 25
20 Alcorcon 25 6 7 12 -14 25
21 Andorra 25 6 6 13 -12 24
22 Amorebieta 26 4 7 15 -16 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sp Gijon Oviedo
Francisco Villalba 🟨
-5′
1–0 Nacho Méndez
2′
12′
🟨 Jonathan Dubasin
Gaspar Campos 🟨
32′
Half-time 1–0
59′
🔁 Borja Sánchez
↦ J. Dubasin
Mario González 🔁
↦ Fran Villalba
60′
60′
🔁 Alemão
↦ Borja Bastón
Ignacio Méndez 🟨
64′
H. Hassan 🔁
↦ U. Đurđević
67′
J. Varane 🔁
↦ Nacho Méndez
67′
72′
🔁 Santi Cazorla
↦ Jimmy
Dani Queipo 🔁
↦ Gaspar Campos
78′
Rober Pier 🔁
↦ A. Pașcanu
78′
80′
🟨 Viti Rozada
83′
ℹ️ Paulino de la Fuente
VAR: Penalty cancelled
85′
🟨 Santiago Colombatto
86′
🔁 Jaime Seoane
↦ Paulino de la Fuente
86′
🔁 Masca
↦ Sebas Moyano
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sp Gijon

4-4-2
13 C. Sánchez G
25 A. Pașcanu D
24 C. Izquierdoz D
4 Pablo Insua D
5 Pablo García D
19 J. Otero M
10 Nacho Méndez M
17 Christian Rivera M
7 Gaspar Campos M
8 Fran Villalba F
23 U. Đurđević F
Bench (10)
20 Mario González
21 H. Hassan
12 J. Varane
9 Dani Queipo
22 Rober Pier
15 Roque Mesa
6 Nacho Martín
30 Alejandro Lozano
16 Diego Sánchez
26 F. Bloch

Coach: Miguel Ángel Ramírez

Oviedo

4-2-3-1
31 Leo Román G
7 Viti Rozada D
15 Oier Luengo D
12 Dani Calvo D
23 Abel Bretones D
6 Jimmy M
11 S. Colombatto M
18 Paulino de la Fuente M
22 J. Dubasin M
17 Sebas Moyano M
9 Borja Bastón F
Bench (10)
25 Borja Sánchez
14 Alemão
8 Santi Cazorla
16 Jaime Seoane
20 Masca
21 Carlos Pomares
24 Lucas Ahijado
13 S. Homenchenko
35 Jaime Vázquez
1 Q. Braat

Coach: Luis Carrión

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,31
U
2,95
B
3,36
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,70
U2,5 ✓
1,44
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jon González · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.