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Süper Lig
Referee: C Aydın
Galatasaray
S S S S S
2–0
Full-time
Buyuksehyr
S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray Buyuksehyr
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
2,5
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 61%
83%
38%
Points per game
2,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
58%
38%
Both score Ø 44%
50%
38%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
2,1
1,3
Conceded
0,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,36 xG 0,64
53% Possession 47%
18 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 6
14 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Galatasaray 2. · Buyuksehyr 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 24 20 3 1 +45 +43.4 63
2 Galatasaray 24 20 3 1 +36 +32.2 63
3 Besiktas 24 12 3 9 +4 +8.8 39
4 Kasimpasa 25 11 5 9 -1 -6.9 38
5 Trabzonspor 24 11 4 9 +5 -1.5 37
6 Rizespor 24 10 6 8 -6 -4.6 36
7 Antalyaspor 24 8 10 6 +4 +2.7 34
8 Buyuksehyr 24 9 6 9 +3 -1.1 33
9 Ad. Demirspor 25 7 10 8 +4 -1.5 31
10 Kayserispor 24 8 7 9 -5 -7.0 31
11 Sivasspor 24 7 9 8 -7 -5.1 30
12 Ankaragücü 24 6 11 7 +2 -2.7 29
13 Hatayspor 24 6 10 8 -1 -0.4 28
14 Karagumruk 25 7 6 12 +1 -9.1 27
15 Alanyaspor 24 6 9 9 -8 +2.6 27
16 Samsunspor 24 7 5 12 -8 +1.8 26
17 Pendikspor 25 6 8 11 -18 -9.2 26
18 Gaziantep 24 6 6 12 -9 -10.8 24
19 Konyaspor 24 4 10 10 -14 -12.7 22
20 İstanbulspor 24 3 5 16 -27 -18.9 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Galatasaray Buyuksehyr
Dries Mertens 🟨
1′
1–0 B. Yılmaz
25′
2–0 D. Mertens
31′
36′
🟨 Souza
Half-time 2–0
W. Zaha 🔁
↦ K. Aktürkoğlu
46′
Tetê 🔁
↦ V. Nelsson
59′
68′
ℹ️ Olivier Kemen
VAR: Goal cancelled
69′
🔁 P. Keny
↦ K. Piątek
69′
🔁 M. Abeid
↦ Souza
69′
🔁 Davidson
↦ João Figueiredo
Carlos Vinícius 🔁
↦ D. Mertens
73′
Barış Alper Yılmaz 🟨
83′
86′
🔁 D. Aleksić
↦ L. Dubois
86′
🔁 M. Tekdemir
↦ O. Kemen
E. Aydın 🔁
↦ L. Torreira
87′
T. Ndombélé 🔁
↦ K. Demirbay
88′
92′
🟨 Lucas Lima
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1
1 F. Muslera G
23 K. Ayhan D
6 D. Sánchez D
25 V. Nelsson D
18 B. Kutlu D
8 K. Demirbay M
34 L. Torreira M
53 B. Yılmaz M
10 D. Mertens M
7 K. Aktürkoğlu M
9 M. Icardi F
Bench (10)
14 W. Zaha
20 Tetê
95 Carlos Vinícius
5 E. Aydın
91 T. Ndombélé
58 A. Yeşilyurt
72 A. Bülbül
19 G. Güvenç
17 D. Köhn
83 E. Akman

Coach: O. Buruk

Buyuksehyr

4-1-4-1
1 V. Babacan G
6 Lucas Lima D
27 O. Ba D
3 J. Opoku D
15 L. Dubois D
89 Souza M
23 D. Türüç M
20 O. Kemen M
26 E. İlkhan M
25 João Figueiredo M
9 K. Piątek F
Bench (9)
17 P. Keny
19 M. Abeid
11 Davidson
8 D. Aleksić
21 M. Tekdemir
16 M. Şengezer
80 B. Aydoğmuş
65 H. Güreler
7 S. Gürler

Coach: Ç. Atan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,28
U
5,53
B
9,55
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,55
U2,5 ✓
2,40
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Aydın · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.