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Championship
Referee: D Whitestone
Cardiff
S T T T S
0–2
Full-time
Preston
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cardiff Preston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
2,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 29/30 matches
Win Ø 41%
41%
40%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
52%
60%
Both score Ø 54%
45%
63%
Average goals
2,6
2,9
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,69 xG 0,62
52% Possession 48%
14 Shots 3
5 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 0
0 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cardiff 13. · Preston 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Leicester 30 23 3 4 +41 +25.5 72
2 Ipswich 30 17 9 4 +15 +16.6 60
3 Southampton 28 17 7 4 +22 +21.1 58
4 Leeds 28 16 6 6 +24 +24.6 54
5 West Brom 29 14 7 8 +15 +5.6 49
6 Hull 29 13 6 10 +5 +6.0 45
7 Coventry 30 11 11 8 +12 +6.3 44
8 Sunderland 30 13 5 12 +8 +11.4 44
9 Norwich 28 13 5 10 +5 -5.2 44
10 Preston 30 12 6 12 -11 -12.9 42
11 Watford 30 10 11 9 +6 +3.1 41
12 Middlesbrough 29 12 5 12 +1 +14.0 41
13 Cardiff 29 12 4 13 -3 -13.4 40
14 Bristol City 30 10 8 12 -1 +0.7 38
15 Plymouth 29 9 9 11 +1 -13.2 36
16 Millwall 30 8 9 13 -8 -7.6 33
17 Swansea 30 8 9 13 -9 -10.6 33
18 Blackburn 29 10 3 16 -13 -4.3 33
19 Birmingham 30 8 8 14 -13 -5.6 32
20 Stoke 30 8 8 14 -14 -3.4 32
21 Huddersfield 30 6 13 11 -14 -11.5 31
22 QPR 30 7 7 16 -14 -9.8 28
23 Sheffield Weds 31 7 5 19 -26 -7.3 26
24 Rotherham 29 3 10 16 -29 -30.3 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cardiff Preston
31′
E. Riis 0–1
M. Frøkjær-Jensen
40′
B. Whiteman 0–2
M. Frøkjær-Jensen
Jak Alnwick 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–2
A. Ramsey 🔁
↦ R. Wintle
46′
J. Wilson-Esbrand 🔁
↦ J. Bowler
46′
F. Diédhiou 🔁
↦ K. Etete
62′
R. Colwill 🔁
↦ D. Turnbull
72′
73′
🔁 A. McCann
↦ B. Potts
74′
🟨 Mads Frøkjær-Jensen
80′
🔁 R. Ledson
↦ A. Browne
Y. Meïté 🔁
↦ N. Phillips
84′
86′
🔁 M. Osmajić
↦ E. Riis
86′
🔁 R. Brady
↦ L. Millar
87′
🔁 B. Woodburn
↦ M. Frøkjær-Jensen
Yakou Méïté 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Cardiff

4-2-3-1
21 J. Alnwick G
38 P. Ng D
4 D. Goutas D
12 N. Phillips D
17 J. Collins D
6 R. Wintle M
23 M. Siopis M
14 J. Bowler M
15 D. Turnbull M
16 K. Ahearne-Grant M
9 K. Etete F
Bench (9)
10 A. Ramsey
30 J. Wilson-Esbrand
20 F. Diédhiou
27 R. Colwill
22 Y. Meïté
1 E. Horvath
32 O. Tanner
8 J. Ralls
2 M. Romeo

Coach: E. Bulut

Preston

3-5-2
1 F. Woodman G
14 J. Storey D
6 L. Lindsay D
16 A. Hughes D
44 B. Potts M
8 A. Browne M
4 B. Whiteman M
10 M. Frøkjær-Jensen M
23 L. Millar M
19 E. Riis F
7 W. Keane F
Bench (9)
13 A. McCann
18 R. Ledson
28 M. Osmajić
11 R. Brady
20 B. Woodburn
21 D. Cornell
3 G. Cunningham
17 L. Stewart
26 J. Whatmough

Coach: R. Lowe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,25
U
3,18
B ✓
3,37
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,32
U2,5 ✓
1,59
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Whitestone · 166 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.