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Bundesliga

Referee: Deniz Aytekin

RB Leipzig

T U U S S

1–4

Full-time

Leverkusen

T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig Leverkusen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

This season — Bundesliga · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 45%

46%

43%

Points per game

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

57%

54%

Both score Ø 61%

64%

57%

Average goals

2,9

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%

19 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 7

5 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 9

3 Offside 5

8 Free kicks against 7

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match RB Leipzig 5. · Leverkusen 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	29	23	3	3	+55	72
2	Schalke 04	29	15	7	7	+12	52
3	Dortmund	29	14	9	6	+18	51
4	Ein Frankfurt	29	13	7	9	+7	46
5	RB Leipzig	28	13	7	8	+6	46
6	Leverkusen	28	12	9	7	+12	45
7	Hoffenheim	29	11	10	8	+11	43
8	M'gladbach	29	11	7	11	-5	40
9	Stuttgart	29	11	5	13	-8	38
10	Hertha	29	8	12	9	-1	36
11	Augsburg	29	9	9	11	-2	36
12	Werder Bremen	29	9	9	11	-2	36
13	Hannover	29	9	8	12	-6	35
14	Freiburg	29	6	12	11	-22	30
15	Wolfsburg	29	5	14	10	-7	29
16	Mainz	29	6	9	14	-17	27
17	Hamburg	29	5	7	17	-23	22
18	FC Koln	29	5	6	18	-28	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	14	12	2	0	+37	38
2	Dortmund	15	8	4	3	+16	28
3	Hoffenheim	14	8	4	2	+16	28
4	RB Leipzig	14	8	4	2	+11	28
5	Schalke 04	14	8	4	2	+9	28
6	Stuttgart	14	8	3	3	+5	27
7	Ein Frankfurt	15	7	4	4	+7	25
8	M'gladbach	15	7	4	4	+3	25
9	Hannover	15	7	3	5	+4	24
10	Leverkusen	14	6	5	3	+7	23
11	Werder Bremen	14	6	4	4	+3	22
12	Freiburg	15	5	6	4	-3	21
13	Augsburg	15	5	4	6	-1	19
14	Hertha	14	4	6	4	-1	18
15	Mainz	14	5	3	6	-3	18
16	Hamburg	15	4	4	7	-4	16
17	Wolfsburg	14	2	7	5	-3	13
18	FC Koln	15	3	4	8	-8	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	15	11	1	3	+18	34
2	Schalke 04	15	7	3	5	+3	24
3	Dortmund	14	6	5	3	+2	23
4	Leverkusen	14	6	4	4	+5	22
5	Ein Frankfurt	14	6	3	5	+0	21
6	Hertha	15	4	6	5	+0	18
7	RB Leipzig	14	5	3	6	-5	18
8	Augsburg	14	4	5	5	-1	17
9	Wolfsburg	15	3	7	5	-4	16
10	Hoffenheim	15	3	6	6	-5	15
11	M'gladbach	14	4	3	7	-8	15
12	Werder Bremen	15	3	5	7	-5	14
13	Hannover	14	2	5	7	-10	11
14	Stuttgart	15	3	2	10	-13	11
15	Mainz	15	1	6	8	-14	9
16	Freiburg	14	1	6	7	-19	9
17	FC Koln	14	2	2	10	-20	8
18	Hamburg	14	1	3	10	-19	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.