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Süper Lig
Referee: A Palabıyık
Hatayspor
U T T U T
4–1
Full-time
Giresunspor
U T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hatayspor Giresunspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
1,7
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
2,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,3
This season — Süper Lig · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 35%
38%
32%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
57%
41%
Both score Ø 53%
54%
51%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

72% Possession 28%
18 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
11 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 6
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hatayspor 13. · Giresunspor 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 38 23 12 3 +33 81
2 Fenerbahce 38 21 10 7 +35 73
3 Konyaspor 38 20 8 10 +21 68
4 Buyuksehyr 38 19 8 11 +20 65
5 Alanyaspor 38 19 7 12 +9 64
6 Besiktas 38 15 14 9 +8 59
7 Antalyaspor 38 16 11 11 +7 59
8 Karagumruk 38 16 9 13 -5 57
9 Sivasspor 38 14 12 12 +2 54
10 Kasimpasa 38 15 8 15 +10 53
11 Ad. Demirspor 37 14 10 13 +6 52
12 Galatasaray 38 14 10 14 -2 52
13 Hatayspor 37 14 8 15 -7 50
14 Kayserispor 38 12 11 15 -7 47
15 Gaziantep 38 12 10 16 -8 46
16 Giresunspor 37 12 9 16 -3 45
17 Rizespor 38 10 6 22 -27 36
18 Altay 38 9 7 22 -18 34
19 Goztep 37 7 7 23 -30 28
20 Yeni Malatyaspor 38 5 5 28 -44 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hatayspor Giresunspor
24′
H. Bilazer 0–1
U. Nayir
35′
🟨 Furkan Kütük
1–1 A. El Kaabi
Kahraba
44′
Half-time 1–1
B. Yıldırım 🔁
↦ S. Lobzhanidze
46′
53′
🔁 G. Cörüt
↦ O. Piri
54′
🔁 Ş. Dik
↦ M. Akbayrak
2–1 B. Yıldırım
Kahraba
55′
59′
🔁 K. Köşker
↦ B. Gün
3–1 Kahraba
M. Boudjemaa
66′
E. Akar 🔁
↦ Kahraba
68′
M. Mert 🔁
↦ Y. Benzia
78′
4–1 A. El Kaabi
B. Yıldırım
81′
B. Çamoglu 🔁
↦ S. Baş
82′
E. Aksoy 🔁
↦ S. Adekugbe
82′
92′
🔁 E. Nizam
↦ M. Gümüşkaya
93′
🔁 K. Yılmaz
↦ U. Nayir
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Hatayspor

4-2-3-1
1 M. Mohamedi G
23 S. Adekugbe D
53 B. Öksüz D
22 F. Kurucuk D
76 Y. Benzia M
11 S. Lobzhanidze M
77 S. Baş D
4 O. Ergün M
8 M. Boudjemaa M
9 Kahraba M
25 A. El Kaabi F
Bench (10)
99 B. Yıldırım
72 E. Akar
19 M. Mert
2 B. Çamoglu
89 E. Aksoy
37 E. Kaplan
16 S. Temel
31 A. Yiğiter
95 D. Saint-Louis
33 Y. Boyar

Coach: Ö. Erdoğan

Giresunspor

5-4-1
1 O. Piri G
5 Z. Yavru D
77 H. Bilazer D
85 F. Yılmaz D
50 B. Gün D
15 A. Çınar D
8 H. Traoré M
21 M. Gümüşkaya M
67 F. Kütük M
89 M. Akbayrak M
17 U. Nayir F
Bench (7)
33 G. Cörüt
40 Ş. Dik
66 K. Köşker
9 K. Yılmaz
70 E. Nizam
37 M. Çifçi
14 G. Karadeniz

Coach: H. Keleş

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,11
U
3,56
B
3,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,71
U2,5
2,11
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Palabıyık · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,46 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.