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Eliteserien

Referee: R Saggi

Sarpsborg 08

U S S T S

1–2

Full-time

Aalesund

S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Aalesund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,8

2,7

Scored

2,8

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,0

This season — Eliteserien · 6/7 matches

Win Ø 40%

50%

29%

Points per game

1,7

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 31%

33%

29%

Both score Ø 40%

50%

29%

Average goals

2,8

2,1

Scored

1,7

0,9

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

57% Possession 43%

20 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

12 Corners 6

2 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 8

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 4. · Aalesund 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	8	6	2	0	+12	20
2	Viking	8	6	1	1	+11	19
3	Molde	8	5	1	2	+7	16
4	Sarpsborg 08	6	3	1	2	+3	10
5	Stromsgodset	7	3	1	3	-1	10
6	Valerenga	7	3	1	3	-2	10
7	Bodo/Glimt	6	2	3	1	+3	9
8	Rosenborg	6	2	3	1	+1	9
9	Tromso	7	2	3	2	-3	9
10	Aalesund	7	2	2	3	-3	8
11	Ham-Kam	6	1	4	1	+2	7
12	Jerv	6	2	1	3	-6	7
13	Haugesund	7	2	0	5	-3	6
14	Sandefjord	7	2	0	5	-5	6
15	Odd	7	2	0	5	-7	6
16	Kristiansund	7	0	1	6	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Viking	5	4	1	0	+10	13
2	Lillestrom	4	4	0	0	+8	12
3	Molde	5	3	0	2	+3	9
4	Rosenborg	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Valerenga	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Jerv	3	2	1	0	+2	7
7	Bodo/Glimt	4	1	3	0	+4	6
8	Tromso	3	2	0	1	-1	6
9	Odd	4	2	0	2	-2	6
10	Ham-Kam	3	1	2	0	+3	5
11	Sarpsborg 08	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Aalesund	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Haugesund	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Stromsgodset	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Kristiansund	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Sandefjord	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	4	2	2	0	+4	8
2	Molde	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Stromsgodset	4	2	1	1	+3	7
4	Sarpsborg 08	3	2	0	1	+3	6
5	Sandefjord	4	2	0	2	+1	6
6	Viking	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Aalesund	4	1	1	2	-2	4
8	Bodo/Glimt	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Haugesund	4	1	0	3	-2	3
10	Tromso	4	0	3	1	-2	3
11	Valerenga	4	1	0	3	-4	3
12	Ham-Kam	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Rosenborg	3	0	2	1	-3	2
14	Kristiansund	4	0	0	4	-5	0
15	Odd	3	0	0	3	-5	0
16	Jerv	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.