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Bundesliga

Referee: A Harkam

LASK

S S U U S

3–1

Full-time

SK Rapid

T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

LASK SK Rapid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

4,3

2,8

Scored

2,7

1,3

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 45%

48%

41%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

55%

38%

Both score Ø 57%

59%

55%

Average goals

3,0

2,4

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,27 xG 0,80

42% Possession 58%

17 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 0

1 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match LASK 2. · SK Rapid 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	30	14	8	8	+12	+8.2	50
2	LASK	29	14	7	8	+8	+11.8	49
3	Salzburg	30	13	9	8	+18	+9.9	48
4	SK Rapid	29	12	8	9	+1	-0.6	44
5	Austria Vienna	30	13	5	12	-4	+0.2	44
6	Ried	30	12	6	12	-1	+1.5	42
7	Hartberg	30	9	12	9	+0	-13.6	39
8	Tirol	30	10	9	11	-10	+0.6	39
9	Altach	30	9	11	10	-5	-6.3	38
10	Wolfsberger AC	30	9	8	13	-4	-14.6	35
11	Grazer AK	30	8	9	13	-6	-1.0	33
12	BW Linz	30	8	4	18	-9	+3.9	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	LASK	14	8	3	3	+6	+9.1	27
2	Ried	15	8	3	4	+4	+4.2	27
3	Altach	15	7	6	2	+4	+1.1	27
4	Tirol	15	7	4	4	+3	+3.2	25
5	Grazer AK	15	6	6	3	+6	+2.8	24
6	SK Rapid	15	7	2	6	+1	-0.8	23
7	Salzburg	15	6	4	5	+8	+5.0	22
8	BW Linz	15	7	1	7	+8	+7.3	22
9	Wolfsberger AC	15	5	6	4	+3	-3.5	21
10	Austria Vienna	15	6	3	6	-5	+1.3	21
11	Sturm Graz	15	5	5	5	-2	+3.9	20
12	Hartberg	15	4	5	6	-4	-4.6	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	15	9	3	3	+14	+4.3	30
2	Salzburg	15	7	5	3	+10	+4.9	26
3	Austria Vienna	15	7	2	6	+1	-1.1	23
4	Hartberg	15	5	7	3	+4	-9.0	22
5	LASK	15	6	4	5	+2	+2.7	22
6	SK Rapid	14	5	6	3	+0	+0.2	21
7	Ried	15	4	3	8	-5	-2.7	15
8	Wolfsberger AC	15	4	2	9	-7	-11.1	14
9	Tirol	15	3	5	7	-13	-2.6	14
10	Altach	15	2	5	8	-9	-7.4	11
11	Grazer AK	15	2	3	10	-12	-3.9	9
12	BW Linz	15	1	3	11	-17	-3.4	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.