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Conference League
Referee: M Matosa
SK Rapid
T T T S S
0–1
Full-time
Universitatea Craiova
T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

SK Rapid Universitatea Craiova
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 44%
38%
50%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
75%
75%
Both score Ø 63%
63%
63%
Average goals
3,6
3,5
Scored
1,8
2,1
Conceded
1,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,83 xG 1,76
52% Possession 48%
10 Shots 17
1 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 4
7 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 20
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

SK Rapid Universitatea Craiova
Nikolaus Wurmbrand 🟨
1′
Matthias Seidl 🟨
4′
Ercan Kara 🟨
18′
Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen 🟨
23′
23′
🟨 Adrian Rus
37′
⚽ O. Romanchuk 0–1
C. Mora
Half-time 0–1
L. Schaub 🔁
↦ A. Radulovic
46′
49′
🟨 Samuel Teles
51′
🟨 Carlos Mora
R. Amane 🔁
↦ L. Grgic
61′
F. Demir 🔁
↦ J. Auer
61′
J. Antiste 🔁
↦ T. Gulliksen
61′
Kouadio Ange Ahoussou 🟨
66′
70′
🔁 S. Baiaram
↦ A. Al Hamlawi
70′
🔁 L. Houri
↦ A. Cicaldau
80′
🔁 V. Screciu
↦ A. Mekvabishvili
80′
🔁 T. Baluta
↦ C. Mora
D. Weixelbraun 🔁
↦ M. Seidl
83′
91′
🔁 L. Basceanu
↦ S. Nsimba
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

SK Rapid

4-2-3-1
25 P. Gartler G
77 B. Bolla D
20 A. Ahoussou D
6 S. Raux Yao D
23 J. Auer D
18 M. Seidl M
8 L. Grgic M
15 N. Wurmbrand M
17 T. Gulliksen M
49 A. Radulovic M
9 E. Kara F
Bench (12)
1 N. Hedl
50 L. Orgler
7 M. Tilio
14 M. Ndzie
21 L. Schaub
29 R. Amane
41 D. Weixelbraun
42 E. Roka
47 A. Groller
55 N. Cvetkovic
61 F. Demir
90 J. Antiste

Coach: Johannes Thorup

Universitatea Craiova

3-5-2
77 P. Isenko G
3 O. Romanchuk D
28 A. Rus D
15 J. Badelj D
17 C. Mora M
23 Teles M
5 A. Mekvabishvili M
20 A. Cicaldau M
11 N. Bancu M
9 A. Al Hamlawi F
39 S. Nsimba F
Bench (12)
1 S. J. Lung
21 L. Popescu
2 F. Stefan
4 A. Cretu
6 V. Screciu
8 T. Baluta
10 S. Baiaram
14 L. Houri
19 V. Mogos
24 N. Stevanovic
29 L. Basceanu
30 D. Matei

Coach: Filipe Coelho

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.