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Conference League
Referee: D Strukan
Rakow
S S U S T
4–1
Full-time
SK Rapid
S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow SK Rapid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 45%
33%
56%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
0,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,1
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,19 xG 0,62
55% Possession 45%
15 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Rakow SK Rapid
Patryk Makuch ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
24′
1–0 J. Brunes ⚽
27′
2–0 L. Diaby-Fadiga ⚽
J. Brunes
40′
Half-time 2–0
A. Konstantopoulos 🔁
↦ F. Tudor
46′
3–0 L. Diaby-Fadiga ⚽
Adriano
51′
4–0 L. Diaby-Fadiga ⚽
53′
Patryk Makuch 🟨
60′
M. Bulat 🔁
↦ Adriano
61′
T. Pienko 🔁
↦ L. Diaby-Fadiga
61′
65′
🔁 N. Wurmbrand
↦ E. Kara
65′
🔁 M. Seidl
↦ M. Ndzie
65′
🔁 L. Schaub
↦ T. Gulliksen
I. Lopez 🔁
↦ J. Brunes
74′
75′
⚽ J. Antiste 4–1
J. Auer
81′
🔁 E. Roka
↦ F. Demir
81′
🔁 A. Groller
↦ N. Cvetkovic
B. Mircetic 🔁
↦ O. Repka
87′
90′
🟨 Louis Schaub
92′
🟨 Jannes Horn
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Rakow

3-4-2-1
48 O. Zych G
7 F. Tudor D
25 B. Racovitan D
4 S. Svarnas D
19 M. Ameyaw M
88 P. Barath M
6 O. Repka M
11 Adriano M
80 L. Diaby-Fadiga F
9 P. Makuch F
18 J. Brunes F
Bench (9)
1 K. Trelowski
39 J. Madrzyk
5 M. Bulat
8 T. Pienko
10 I. Lopez
44 B. Mircetic
66 A. Konstantopoulos
97 I. Seck
99 I. Rondic

Coach: Lukasz Tomczyk

SK Rapid

3-4-1-2
25 P. Gartler G
55 N. Cvetkovic D
20 A. Ahoussou D
38 J. Horn D
61 F. Demir M
29 R. Amane M
14 M. Ndzie M
23 J. Auer M
17 T. Gulliksen F
90 J. Antiste F
9 E. Kara F
Bench (12)
1 N. Hedl
51 B. Goschl
7 M. Tilio
10 P. Dahl
15 N. Wurmbrand
18 M. Seidl
21 L. Schaub
36 J. Brunnhofer
41 D. Weixelbraun
42 E. Roka
47 A. Groller
49 A. Radulovic

Coach: Johannes Thorup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Strukan · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,43 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.