← Match Finder
Europa League
Referee: W Collum
Sp Lisbon
T S U S T
3–0
Full-time
Sturm Graz
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Sp Lisbon Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
4,2
1,7
Scored
2,8
1,2
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
40%
20%
Points per game
1,6
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
60%
40%
Both score Ø 70%
100%
40%
Average goals
2,6
2,0
Scored
1,4
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,64 xG 0,25
71% Possession 29%
14 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 1
0 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Sep -23 Sturm Graz – Sp Lisbon 1–2

Match report

Sp Lisbon Sturm Graz
1–0 V. Gyökeres ⚽
Matheus Reis
39′
Half-time 1–0
H. Morita 🔁
↦ M. Hjulmand
46′
M. Edwards 🔁
↦ V. Gyökeres
46′
Gonçalo Inácio 🔁
↦ Matheus Reis
46′
Dário Essugo 🔁
↦ Ricardo Esgaio
56′
57′
🔁 W. Bøving
↦ S. Jatta
2–0 Gonçalo Inácio ⚽
M. Edwards
60′
3–0 Gonçalo Inácio ⚽
70′
75′
🟨 Jon Gorenc Stanković
Pote 🔁
↦ Nuno Santos
75′
75′
🔁 Javi Serrano
↦ O. Kiteishvili
82′
🔁 S. Włodarczyk
↦ M. Sarkaria
83′
🔁 S. Hierländer
↦ T. Horvat
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Sp Lisbon

3-4-2-1
12 F. Israel G
13 Luís Neto D
4 S. Coates D
2 Matheus Reis D
47 Ricardo Esgaio M
23 Daniel Bragança M
42 M. Hjulmand M
11 Nuno Santos M
17 Trincão F
20 Paulinho F
9 V. Gyökeres F
Bench (9)
5 H. Morita
10 M. Edwards
25 Gonçalo Inácio
14 Dário Essugo
8 Pote
99 Francisco Silva
26 O. Diomande
1 Adán
72 Eduardo Quaresma

Coach: Rúben Amorim

Sturm Graz

4-3-2-1
1 K. Scherpen G
22 J. Gazibegović D
42 D. Affengruber D
24 D. Lavalée D
28 D. Schnegg D
19 T. Horvat M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič M
8 A. Prass M
11 M. Sarkaria M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
20 S. Jatta F
Bench (12)
15 W. Bøving
14 Javi Serrano
9 S. Włodarczyk
25 S. Hierländer
6 A. Borković
17 Bryan Teixeira
35 N. Geyrhofer
2 M. Johnston
44 A. Dante
29 M. Fuseini
45 C. Wiener-Pucher
31 L. Marić

Coach: C. Ilzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

W Collum · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.