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Premiership

Referee: M MacDermid

ST Johnstone

S T T U S

0–1

Full-time

Celtic

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone Celtic

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,2

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

1,3

2,7

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 70%

40%

100%

Points per game

1,4

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

60%

80%

Both score Ø 70%

80%

60%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

1,6

2,6

Conceded

1,6

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+2,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%

9 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 9

2 Blocked shots 4

8 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 11

0 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ST Johnstone 7. · Celtic 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	5	5	0	0	+10	+12.2	15
2	Rangers	6	4	1	1	+3	+2.3	13
3	Hearts	5	4	0	1	+7	+1.3	12
4	St Mirren	6	3	1	2	+2	+0.8	10
5	Motherwell	5	2	2	1	+3	+2.4	8
6	Dundee	6	2	1	3	+1	-2.2	7
7	ST Johnstone	5	2	1	2	+0	+0.2	7
8	Hibernian	5	2	0	3	-2	+1.2	6
9	Dundee United	6	1	2	3	-5	-1.3	5
10	Aberdeen	5	1	1	3	-5	-3.5	4
11	Falkirk	5	0	2	3	-4	-4.4	2
12	Kilmarnock	5	0	1	4	-10	-8.9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	3	3	0	0	+6	+3.5	9
2	Celtic	3	3	0	0	+5	+6.2	9
3	ST Johnstone	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.9	6
4	Rangers	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.3	6
5	Motherwell	2	1	1	0	+3	+2.4	4
6	Dundee	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.8	4
7	St Mirren	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.8	4
8	Aberdeen	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.2	4
9	Dundee United	3	0	2	1	-2	-0.3	2
10	Hibernian	2	0	0	2	-3	+0.6	0
11	Falkirk	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.6	0
12	Kilmarnock	3	0	0	3	-9	-7.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rangers	3	2	1	0	+2	+1.9	7
2	Celtic	2	2	0	0	+5	+6.0	6
3	St Mirren	3	2	0	1	+2	+1.6	6
4	Hibernian	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.6	6
5	Motherwell	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.0	4
6	Hearts	2	1	0	1	+1	-2.2	3
7	Dundee	3	1	0	2	+0	-3.0	3
8	Dundee United	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.0	3
9	Falkirk	3	0	2	1	-1	-2.8	2
10	Kilmarnock	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.0	1
11	ST Johnstone	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.7	1
12	Aberdeen	2	0	0	2	-5	-3.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Apr -25 ST Johnstone – Celtic 1–0 29. Dec -24 Celtic – ST Johnstone 4–0 28. Sep -24 ST Johnstone – Celtic 0–6 16. Mar -24 Celtic – ST Johnstone 3–1 3. Dec -23 ST Johnstone – Celtic 1–3

Match report

ST Johnstone Celtic

Half-time 0–1

52′

⚽ Mika Baur 0–1

Haissem Hassan

Josh Campbell 🟨

55′

Sam Stanton 🔁

↦ Jason Holt

63′

Ruari Paton 🔁

↦ Josh Fowler

63′

67′

🔁 Benjamin Nygren

↦ Oliver Sorensen

Reece McAlear 🟨

69′

73′

🔁 Camilo Duran

↦ Haissem Hassan

73′

🔁 James Forrest

↦ Sebastian Tounekti

Danny schmidt 🔁

↦ Josh Campbell

74′

Kai Fotheringham 🔁

↦ Taylor Steven

74′

82′

🟨 Liam Scales

Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

ST Johnstone

3-4-2-1

T. Steward G

D. Finlayson D

E. Alıç D

C. Diabate D

M. Todd M

R. McAlear M

30 Joel Cotterill M

T. Steven M

J. Holt M

J. Campbell M

J. Fowler F

Bench (9)

4 M. Boyes

18 K. Fotheringham

14 M. Foulds

99 R. Paton

22 D. Schmidt

20 R. Sinclair

33 L. Smith

11 S. Stanton

25 M. Tait

Coach: S. Valakari

Celtic

4-2-3-1

S. Johnstone G

Colby Donovan D

A. Trusty D

L. Scales D

D. Murray D

C. McGregor M

M. Baur M

H. Hassan M

O. Sørensen M

S. Tounekti M

K. Høgh F

Bench (9)

99 J. Lotomba

49 J. Forrest

11 C. Durán

29 Shumaira Mheuka

8 B. Nygren

21 A. Oxlade-Chamberlain

1 V. Sinisalo

63 K. Tierney

35 J. van den Berg

Coach: M. O'Neill

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

5,71

🔒

BetVictor 7,00 Betano 6,80 Marathonbet 6,65 1xBet 6,64 Betfair 6,50 Pinnacle 6,46 Dafabet 6,40 Bet365 6,25 Unibet 6,10 Superbet 6,10 888Sport 6,00 William Hill 6,00 SBO 5,99 10Bet 5,70

4,55

🔒

Dafabet 5,00 Pinnacle 4,99 Superbet 4,85 Betano 4,80 Bet365 4,75 Betfair 4,75 BetVictor 4,75 1xBet 4,70 Marathonbet 4,70 10Bet 4,60 Unibet 4,50 SBO 4,37 888Sport 4,33 William Hill 4,33

B ✓

1,47

🔒

Betano 1,50 10Bet 1,48 Dafabet 1,47 Pinnacle 1,47 Superbet 1,46 Bet365 1,45 Betfair 1,44 888Sport 1,44 William Hill 1,44 1xBet 1,42 Unibet 1,42 SBO 1,41 Marathonbet 1,41 BetVictor 1,40

Over/under goals

O1,5

1,17

🔒