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Champions League
Referee: Glenn Nyberg
Napoli
S S S T T
0–1
Full-time
Arsenal
S U S S S
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Napoli Arsenal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
5 Shots 26
3 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 7
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
0 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Napoli Arsenal
Billy Gilmour 🟨
42′
Vanja Milinković-Savić 🔁
↦ Alex Meret
45′
Half-time 0–0
Costantino Favasuli 🔁
↦ Matteo Politano
57′
Antonio Vergara 🔁
↦ Alisson Santos
58′
65′
🔁 Bruno Guimarães
↦ Mikel Merino
66′
🔁 Christos Tzolis
↦ Eberechi Eze
73′
🔁 Kai Havertz
↦ Viktor Gyökeres
73′
🔁 Noni Madueke
↦ Bukayo Saka
75′
⚽ Martin Odegaard 0–1
Christos Tzolis
David Neres 🔁
↦ Rasmus Hojlund
76′
Lorenzo Lucca 🔁
↦ Stanislav Lobotka
77′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Napoli

4-3-3
1 A. Meret G
22 G. Di Lorenzo D
13 Amir Rrahmani D
16 Rafa Marín D
17 M. Olivera D
6 B. Gilmour M
68 S. Lobotka M
11 K. De Bruyne M
21 M. Politano F
19 R. Højlund F
27 Alisson Santos F
Bench (9)
26 A. Vergara
2 C. Favasuli
14 N. Contini
31 S. Beukema
20 L. Lucca
32 V. Milinković-Savić
7 David Neres
5 B. Badiashile
37 L. Spinazzola

Coach: M. Allegri

Arsenal

4-2-3-1
1 David Raya G
4 B. White D
15 E. Konsa D
6 Gabriel Magalhães D
5 P. Hincapié D
23 Mikel Merino M
41 D. Rice M
7 B. Saka M
8 M. Ødegaard M
10 E. Eze M
14 V. Gyökeres F
Bench (11)
33 R. Calafiori
56 M. Dowman
29 K. Havertz
49 M. Lewis-Skelly
20 N. Madueke
30 I. Meslier
89 M. Salmon
17 C. Tzolis
36 Martín Zubimendi
13 Kepa
39 Bruno Guimarães

Coach: Mikel Arteta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,75
🔒
U
3,90
🔒
B ✓
1,62
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
1,29
🔒
U1,5 ✓
3,50
🔒
O2,5
1,92
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,90
🔒
O3,5
3,25
🔒
U3,5 ✓
1,33
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,91
🔒
BLS nei ✓
1,85
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Glenn Nyberg · 27 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.