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Premiership
Referee: D Dickinson
Celtic
S S U S S
1–1
Full-time
St Mirren
S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
3,2
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+0,3
This season — Premiership · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 58%
78%
38%
Points per game
2,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
76%
68%
Both score Ø 46%
38%
54%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
3,0
1,4
Conceded
0,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
+2,3
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

77% Possession 23%
21 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 3
10 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
14 Corners 0
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 6
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celtic 1. · St Mirren 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 37 29 4 4 +86 91
2 Rangers 37 22 8 7 +39 74
3 Hibernian 37 15 12 10 +12 57
4 Aberdeen 37 15 8 14 -12 53
5 Dundee United 37 14 8 15 -10 50
6 Hearts 37 14 7 16 +4 49
7 St Mirren 37 14 7 16 -6 49
8 Motherwell 37 14 6 17 -17 48
9 Kilmarnock 37 12 8 17 -18 44
10 Dundee 37 10 8 19 -22 38
11 Ross County 37 9 9 19 -28 36
12 ST Johnstone 37 9 5 23 -28 32

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Mar -25 St Mirren – Celtic 2–5 5. Jan -25 Celtic – St Mirren 3–0 25. Aug -24 St Mirren – Celtic 0–3 18. May -24 Celtic – St Mirren 3–2 13. Apr -24 Celtic – St Mirren 3–0

Match report

Celtic St Mirren
44′
🟨 Killian Phillips
Half-time 0–1
51′
⚽ J. Ayunga 0–1
J. Forrest 🔁
↦ N. Kühn
54′
L. McCowan 🔁
↦ A. Idah
54′
Yang Hyun-Jun 🔁
↦ Paulo Bernardo
54′
63′
🔁 G. Kiltie
↦ C. Boyd-Munce
63′
🔁 R. Idowu
↦ J. Ayunga
68′
🔁 S. Tanser
↦ D. John
J. Kenny 🔁
↦ D. Maeda
72′
75′
🟨 Mark O'Hara
J. Schlupp 🔁
↦ A. Engels
80′
81′
🔁 J. Scott
↦ M. Mandron
82′
🔁 A. Iacovitti
↦ R. Alebiosu
88′
🟨 Marcus Fraser
1–1 J. Forrest ⚽
A. Johnston
94′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Celtic

4-3-3
1 K. Schmeichel G
2 A. Johnston D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
5 L. Scales D
3 G. Taylor D
27 A. Engels M
42 C. McGregor M
28 Paulo Bernardo M
10 N. Kühn F
9 A. Idah F
38 D. Maeda F
Bench (9)
49 J. Forrest
14 L. McCowan
13 Yang Hyun-Jun
24 J. Kenny
15 J. Schlupp
17 M. Nawrocki
56 A. Ralston
6 A. Trusty
12 V. Sinisalo

Coach: B. Rodgers

St Mirren

3-5-2
1 Z. Hemming G
22 M. Fraser D
13 A. Gogić D
5 R. Taylor D
2 R. Alebiosu M
88 K. Phillips M
15 C. Boyd-Munce M
6 M. O'Hara M
24 D. John M
9 M. Mandron F
7 J. Ayunga F
Bench (9)
11 G. Kiltie
12 R. Idowu
3 S. Tanser
14 J. Scott
4 A. Iacovitti
27 P. Urminský
33 E. Mooney
10 C. McMenamin
8 O. Smyth

Coach: S. Robinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,24
🔒
U ✓
6,76
🔒
B
9,30
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,28
🔒
U2,5 ✓
3,42
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Dickinson · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.