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Premiership
Referee: C Graham
St Mirren
T S U S S
2–2
Full-time
Hibernian
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Hibernian
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
2,2
2,2
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,3
This season — Premiership · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 41%
39%
42%
Points per game
1,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
67%
58%
Both score Ø 57%
53%
61%
Average goals
2,9
2,9
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

52% Possession 48%
11 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 6
7 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Mirren 6. · Hibernian 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 36 28 4 4 +82 88
2 Rangers 36 21 8 7 +37 71
3 Hibernian 36 15 11 10 +12 56
4 Aberdeen 36 15 8 13 -8 53
5 Dundee United 36 14 8 14 -8 50
6 St Mirren 36 14 6 16 -6 48
7 Hearts 36 13 7 16 +3 46
8 Motherwell 36 13 6 17 -20 45
9 Kilmarnock 36 12 8 16 -15 44
10 Dundee 37 10 8 19 -22 38
11 Ross County 37 9 9 19 -28 36
12 ST Johnstone 36 9 5 22 -27 32

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

16. Feb -25 St Mirren – Hibernian 0–0 9. Nov -24 Hibernian – St Mirren 1–2 4. Aug -24 St Mirren – Hibernian 3–0 3. Feb -24 Hibernian – St Mirren 0–3 8. Nov -23 St Mirren – Hibernian 2–2

Match report

St Mirren Hibernian
3′
⚽ M. Boyle 0–1
J. Hoilett
10′
⚽ M. Kuharevich 0–2
J. Hoilett
23′
🟨 Jordan Obita
Declan John 🟨
36′
38′
🟨 Nectarios Triantis
Half-time 1–2
1–2 R. Taylor ⚽
50′
Jonah Ayunga 🟨
56′
S. Tanser 🔁
↦ D. John
60′
M. O'Hara 🔁
↦ C. Boyd-Munce
61′
C. McMenamin 🔁
↦ J. Ayunga
61′
61′
🔁 K. Bowie
↦ M. Kuharevich
2–2 C. McMenamin ⚽
R. Idowu
64′
76′
🔁 N. Cadden
↦ J. Obita
76′
🔁 J. Campbell
↦ J. Hoilett
Marcus Fraser 🟨
78′
79′
🟨 Kieron Bowie
G. Kiltie 🔁
↦ R. Idowu
82′
84′
🔁 D. Gayle
↦ M. Boyle
84′
🔁 W. O'Hora
↦ C. Cadden
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

St Mirren

3-5-2
1 Z. Hemming G
22 M. Fraser D
13 A. Gogić D
5 R. Taylor D
2 R. Alebiosu M
88 K. Phillips M
15 C. Boyd-Munce M
12 R. Idowu M
24 D. John M
9 M. Mandron F
7 J. Ayunga F
Bench (9)
3 S. Tanser
6 M. O'Hara
10 C. McMenamin
11 G. Kiltie
33 E. Mooney
14 J. Scott
27 P. Urminský
4 A. Iacovitti
8 O. Smyth

Coach: S. Robinson

Hibernian

3-4-3
13 J. Smith G
2 L. Miller D
33 R. Bushiri D
15 J. Iredale D
12 C. Cadden M
26 N. Triantis M
6 D. Levitt M
21 J. Obita M
10 M. Boyle F
99 M. Kuharevich F
23 J. Hoilett F
Bench (9)
20 K. Bowie
19 N. Cadden
32 J. Campbell
34 D. Gayle
5 W. O'Hora
4 M. Ekpiteta
22 N. Moriah-Welsh
1 J. Bursik
8 A. Manneh

Coach: D. Gray

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,94
🔒
U ✓
3,23
🔒
B
2,42
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,97
🔒
U2,5
1,83
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Graham · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.