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Ekstraklasa

Referee: W Myć

Korona Kielce

S U S S T

1–1

Full-time

Rakow

S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Korona Kielce Rakow

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 47%

34%

59%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

41%

38%

Both score Ø 47%

56%

38%

Average goals

2,4

2,2

Scored

1,1

1,5

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,50 xG 1,95

29% Possession 71%

6 Shots 17

4 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 12

1 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 6

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Korona Kielce 10. · Rakow 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	32	21	3	8	+36	+12.1	66
2	Rakow	32	19	8	5	+27	+10.3	65
3	Jagiellonia	33	17	9	7	+14	+4.1	60
4	Pogon Szczecin	33	17	6	10	+19	+17.4	57
5	Legia	32	15	8	9	+17	+14.6	53
6	Gornik Zabrze	33	13	7	13	+4	+4.9	46
7	Cracovia	32	12	9	11	+2	-5.6	45
8	Piast Gliwice	33	11	12	10	+2	-1.4	45
9	GKS Katowice	32	13	6	13	+1	-2.3	45
10	Korona Kielce	32	11	10	11	-8	-0.6	43
11	Motor Lublin	32	12	7	13	-13	-3.9	43
12	Radomiak Radom	33	11	8	14	-3	-0.8	41
13	Widzew Lodz	32	10	7	15	-12	-7.0	37
14	Lechia Gdansk	33	10	7	16	-14	-16.3	37
15	Zaglebie	32	10	6	16	-16	-6.8	36
16	Stal Mielec	33	7	9	17	-17	+0.4	30
17	Slask Wroclaw	33	6	11	16	-15	-0.7	29
18	Puszcza	32	6	9	17	-24	-18.2	27

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	16	14	0	2	+33	+11.4	42
2	Pogon Szczecin	17	13	2	2	+22	+17.0	41
3	Jagiellonia	16	9	5	2	+14	+4.7	32
4	Legia	16	9	3	4	+14	+10.9	30
5	Rakow	16	9	3	4	+12	+6.5	30
6	GKS Katowice	16	8	4	4	+7	-4.1	28
7	Gornik Zabrze	16	8	3	5	+9	+5.8	27
8	Korona Kielce	16	8	2	6	+1	+5.8	26
9	Radomiak Radom	16	6	5	5	+6	+4.6	23
10	Piast Gliwice	17	5	8	4	+0	-0.2	23
11	Widzew Lodz	16	7	2	7	-3	-0.4	23
12	Lechia Gdansk	16	7	2	7	-4	-6.2	23
13	Motor Lublin	16	6	4	6	-1	-1.9	22
14	Stal Mielec	17	5	6	6	-3	+4.8	21
15	Zaglebie	16	6	3	7	-4	-4.0	21
16	Slask Wroclaw	17	4	7	6	-1	-1.3	19
17	Cracovia	16	4	6	6	-2	-1.3	18
18	Puszcza	16	4	6	6	-3	-3.6	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	16	10	5	1	+15	+3.8	35
2	Jagiellonia	17	8	4	5	+0	-0.7	28
3	Cracovia	16	8	3	5	+4	-4.4	27
4	Lech Poznan	16	7	3	6	+3	+0.7	24
5	Legia	16	6	5	5	+3	+3.7	23
6	Piast Gliwice	16	6	4	6	+2	-1.2	22
7	Motor Lublin	16	6	3	7	-12	-1.9	21
8	Gornik Zabrze	17	5	4	8	-5	-1.0	19
9	Radomiak Radom	17	5	3	9	-9	-5.4	18
10	GKS Katowice	16	5	2	9	-6	+1.7	17
11	Korona Kielce	16	3	8	5	-9	-6.4	17
12	Pogon Szczecin	16	4	4	8	-3	+0.3	16
13	Zaglebie	16	4	3	9	-12	-2.8	15
14	Widzew Lodz	16	3	5	8	-9	-6.6	14
15	Lechia Gdansk	17	3	5	9	-10	-10.1	14
16	Slask Wroclaw	16	2	4	10	-14	+0.6	10
17	Stal Mielec	16	2	3	11	-14	-4.3	9
18	Puszcza	16	2	3	11	-21	-14.5	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.