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Ligue 2

Referee: M Vernice

Metz

S U T U S

1–0

Full-time

Dunkerque

S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Dunkerque

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 59%

100%

17%

Average goals

4,5

1,2

Scored

2,5

0,7

Conceded

2,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 34/35 matches

Win Ø 52%

53%

51%

Points per game

1,9

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

56%

37%

Both score Ø 54%

62%

46%

Average goals

2,9

2,5

Scored

1,9

1,4

Conceded

1,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Metz 3. · Dunkerque 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	34	22	5	7	+37	71
2	Paris FC	34	21	6	7	+22	69
3	Metz	34	18	11	5	+30	65
4	Dunkerque	35	18	5	12	+8	59
5	Guingamp	35	17	4	14	+11	55
6	Annecy	34	14	9	11	-1	51
7	Laval	34	14	8	12	+6	50
8	Bastia	34	11	15	8	+6	48
9	Grenoble	34	13	7	14	-1	46
10	Troyes	34	13	5	16	+2	44
11	Amiens	34	13	4	17	-12	43
12	Ajaccio	34	12	6	16	-12	42
13	Pau FC	34	10	12	12	-14	42
14	Rodez	34	9	12	13	+2	39
15	Red Star	34	9	11	14	-14	38
16	Clermont	34	7	12	15	-16	33
17	Martigues	34	9	5	20	-27	32
18	Caen	34	5	7	22	-27	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	17	15	1	1	+37	46
2	Paris FC	17	13	2	2	+18	41
3	Dunkerque	18	13	1	4	+15	40
4	Metz	17	10	6	1	+22	36
5	Amiens	17	11	2	4	+6	35
6	Bastia	17	9	7	1	+15	34
7	Annecy	17	9	4	4	+8	31
8	Guingamp	17	9	3	5	+14	30
9	Ajaccio	17	9	3	5	+5	30
10	Grenoble	17	8	5	4	+8	29
11	Pau FC	17	8	5	4	+1	29
12	Laval	17	8	3	6	+6	27
13	Troyes	17	7	4	6	+5	25
14	Rodez	17	6	5	6	+2	23
15	Red Star	17	6	5	6	-3	23
16	Clermont	17	3	8	6	-2	17
17	Caen	17	3	5	9	-9	14
18	Martigues	17	3	3	11	-14	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Metz	17	8	5	4	+8	29
2	Paris FC	17	8	4	5	+4	28
3	Lorient	17	7	4	6	+0	25
4	Guingamp	18	8	1	9	-3	25
5	Laval	17	6	5	6	+0	23
6	Annecy	17	5	5	7	-9	20
7	Martigues	17	6	2	9	-13	20
8	Troyes	17	6	1	10	-3	19
9	Dunkerque	17	5	4	8	-7	19
10	Grenoble	17	5	2	10	-9	17
11	Rodez	17	3	7	7	+0	16
12	Clermont	17	4	4	9	-14	16
13	Red Star	17	3	6	8	-11	15
14	Bastia	17	2	8	7	-9	14
15	Pau FC	17	2	7	8	-15	13
16	Ajaccio	17	3	3	11	-17	12
17	Caen	17	2	2	13	-18	8
18	Amiens	17	2	2	13	-18	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.