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Premiership
Referee: G Irvine
Celtic
U U S S T
3–0
Full-time
St Mirren
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 19/21 matches
Win Ø 61%
84%
38%
Points per game
2,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
68%
76%
Both score Ø 39%
16%
62%
Average goals
3,1
2,9
Scored
2,7
1,3
Conceded
0,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
+2,4
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

75% Possession 25%
11 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 3
3 Offside 3
6 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celtic 1. · St Mirren 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 19 16 2 1 +45 50
2 Rangers 20 12 4 4 +21 40
3 Dundee United 20 9 7 4 +9 34
4 Aberdeen 21 10 4 7 +2 34
5 Motherwell 21 9 3 9 -7 30
6 St Mirren 21 8 3 10 -7 27
7 Hibernian 22 6 8 8 -4 26
8 Dundee 21 7 4 10 -4 25
9 Kilmarnock 21 6 6 9 -11 24
10 Ross County 21 5 7 9 -17 22
11 Hearts 21 5 5 11 -7 20
12 ST Johnstone 22 4 3 15 -20 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Aug -24 St Mirren – Celtic 0–3 18. May -24 Celtic – St Mirren 3–2 13. Apr -24 Celtic – St Mirren 3–0 2. Jan -24 St Mirren – Celtic 0–3 1. Nov -23 Celtic – St Mirren 2–1

Match report

Celtic St Mirren
1–0 N. Kühn ⚽
D. Maeda
33′
2–0 A. Trusty ⚽
A. Engels
43′
Half-time 2–0
62′
🔁 J. Ayunga
↦ T. Olusanya
62′
🔁 O. Smyth
↦ M. OHara
62′
🔁 O. Oseni
↦ G. Kiltie
3–0 N. Kühn ⚽
68′
R. Hatate 🔁
↦ L. McCowan
70′
Yang Hyun-Jun 🔁
↦ N. Kühn
71′
75′
🟨 Marcus Fraser
K. Furuhashi 🔁
↦ A. Idah
83′
L. Palma 🔁
↦ D. Maeda
83′
83′
🔁 R. Idowu
↦ C. Boyd-Munce
84′
🔁 D. John
↦ S. Tanser
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Celtic

4-3-3
1 K. Schmeichel G
2 A. Johnston D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
6 A. Trusty D
3 G. Taylor D
14 L. McCowan M
42 C. McGregor M
27 A. Engels M
10 N. Kühn F
9 A. Idah F
38 D. Maeda F
Bench (9)
41 R. Hatate
13 Yang Hyun-Jun
8 K. Furuhashi
7 L. Palma
28 Paulo Bernardo
11 Álex Valle
56 A. Ralston
12 V. Sinisalo
5 L. Scales

Coach: B. Rodgers

St Mirren

3-5-1-1
77 Z. Hemming G
22 M. Fraser D
13 A. Gogić D
5 R. Taylor D
42 E. Bwomono M
88 K. Phillips M
15 C. Boyd-Munce M
6 M. O'Hara M
3 S. Tanser M
11 G. Kiltie F
20 T. Olusanya F
Bench (9)
7 J. Ayunga
8 O. Smyth
19 O. Oseni
12 R. Idowu
24 D. John
9 M. Mandron
33 E. Mooney
27 P. Urminský
4 A. Iacovitti

Coach: S. Robinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,10
🔒
U
9,24
🔒
B
22,51
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,41
🔒
U2,5
2,74
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Irvine · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.