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Super League

Referee: S Wolfensberger

Winterthur

S S S S T

2–2

Full-time

Yverdon

T T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Winterthur Yverdon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

0,8

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 36/36 matches

Win Ø 25%

28%

22%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

53%

47%

Both score Ø 50%

47%

53%

Average goals

2,9

2,8

Scored

1,1

1,0

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

2,30 xG 0,92

61% Possession 39%

12 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 3

2 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Winterthur 11. · Yverdon 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	36	21	7	8	+48	+22.4	70
2	Servette	36	16	11	9	+8	-0.7	59
3	Young Boys	36	16	9	11	+7	+8.2	57
4	Zurich	36	15	8	13	+1	-1.2	53
5	Luzern	36	14	10	12	+7	+9.5	52
6	Lugano	36	15	7	14	-3	+7.9	52
7	Lausanne	36	14	9	13	+8	+10.1	51
8	St. Gallen	36	12	13	11	+0	-4.7	49
9	Sion	36	10	11	15	-9	-0.1	41
10	Grasshoppers	36	8	12	16	-11	-12.6	36
11	Winterthur	36	10	6	20	-27	-23.1	36
12	Yverdon	36	8	11	17	-29	-15.8	35

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	18	12	4	2	+20	+8.6	40
2	Basel	18	12	2	4	+24	+18.6	38
3	Lausanne	19	11	2	6	+13	+10.8	35
4	Servette	18	9	6	3	+9	+5.3	33
5	Luzern	18	9	5	4	+11	+12.2	32
6	Lugano	18	9	4	5	+3	+11.1	31
7	St. Gallen	17	8	6	3	+8	+6.3	30
8	Sion	18	7	8	3	+9	+11.4	29
9	Zurich	19	8	5	6	+2	-0.5	29
10	Yverdon	18	6	5	7	-4	-2.3	23
11	Winterthur	17	7	2	8	-6	-6.7	23
12	Grasshoppers	18	4	8	6	+2	+4.6	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	18	9	5	4	+24	+3.8	32
2	Servette	18	7	5	6	-1	-6.0	26
3	Zurich	17	7	3	7	-1	-0.7	24
4	Lugano	18	6	3	9	-6	-3.2	21
5	Luzern	18	5	5	8	-4	-2.7	20
6	St. Gallen	19	4	7	8	-8	-11.0	19
7	Young Boys	18	4	5	9	-13	-0.4	17
8	Lausanne	17	3	7	7	-5	-0.8	16
9	Grasshoppers	18	4	4	10	-13	-17.2	16
10	Winterthur	19	3	4	12	-21	-16.3	13
11	Sion	18	3	3	12	-18	-11.4	12
12	Yverdon	18	2	6	10	-25	-13.4	12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.