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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
Dundee United
S U T U S
1–0
Full-time
Aberdeen
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee United Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,2
This season — Premiership · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 48%
39%
56%
Points per game
1,6
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
39%
67%
Both score Ø 64%
56%
72%
Average goals
2,6
3,1
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%
19 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 1
12 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee United 4. · Aberdeen 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 18 16 2 0 +48 50
2 Rangers 18 11 3 4 +18 36
3 Aberdeen 18 10 4 4 +6 34
4 Dundee United 18 7 7 4 +7 28
5 St Mirren 20 8 3 9 -5 27
6 Motherwell 19 8 3 8 -8 27
7 Hibernian 20 6 6 8 -4 24
8 Dundee 19 6 4 9 -5 22
9 Kilmarnock 20 5 6 9 -13 21
10 Ross County 20 4 7 9 -18 19
11 Hearts 20 4 5 11 -8 17
12 ST Johnstone 20 4 2 14 -18 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dundee United Aberdeen
Ryan Strain 🟨
20′
27′
🟨 Ester Sokler
Kristijan Trapanovski ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
28′
Half-time 0–0
R. Docherty 🔁
↦ D. Babunski
46′
60′
🟨 Slobodan Rubežić
60′
🔁 K. Nisbet
↦ E. Sokler
61′
🔁 Duk
↦ T. Keskinen
Ross Docherty 🟨
63′
Vicko Ševelj 🟨
66′
K. Fotheringham 🔁
↦ K. Trapanovski
72′
78′
🔁 A. MacDonald
↦ G. Molloy
J. van der Sande 🔁
↦ R. Strain
83′
91′
🔁 S. Morris
↦ J. McGrath
91′
🔁 D. Polvara
↦ L. Clarkson
93′
🟨 Dante Polvara
1–0 K. Holt
W. Ferry
94′
Kevin Holt 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Dundee United

4-2-3-1
1 J. Walton G
2 R. Strain D
16 E. Adegboyega D
4 K. Holt D
11 W. Ferry D
17 L. Stephenson M
5 V. Ševelj M
15 G. Middleton M
10 D. Babunski M
7 K. Trapanovski M
19 S. Dalby F
Bench (9)
23 R. Docherty
18 K. Fotheringham
20 J. van der Sande
25 D. Richards
70 M. Ubochioma
29 M. Thomson
12 R. Odada
6 R. Graham
42 O. Stirton

Coach: J. Goodwin

Aberdeen

4-2-3-1
1 D. Mitov G
2 N. Devlin D
33 S. Rubežić D
21 G. Molloy D
3 J. MacKenzie D
18 A. Palaversa M
6 S. Heltne Nilsen M
81 T. Keskinen M
10 L. Clarkson M
7 J. McGrath M
19 E. Sokler F
Bench (9)
9 K. Nisbet
11 Duk
27 A. MacDonald
20 S. Morris
8 D. Polvara
4 G. Shinnie
32 P. Ambrose
15 J. McGarry
31 R. Doohan

Coach: J. Thelin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,31
U
3,45
B
2,90
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,85
U2,5 ✓
1,92
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.