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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: A Bodding
Stabaek
S S S U S
5–0
Full-time
Kongsvinger
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stabaek Kongsvinger
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,8
4,7
Scored
2,8
3,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
50%
75%
Points per game
2,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
75%
75%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
1,8
2,5
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Stabaek 5. · Kongsvinger 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Kongsvinger 4 3 1 0 +5 10
2 Egersund 4 3 1 0 +4 10
3 Bryne 5 3 0 2 +2 9
4 Levanger 5 2 2 1 +5 8
5 Stabaek 4 2 2 0 +3 8
6 Sogndal 5 2 2 1 +2 8
7 Moss 5 2 0 3 -3 6
8 Mjondalen 4 1 2 1 +0 5
9 Ranheim 5 1 2 2 +0 5
10 Lyn 4 1 2 1 +0 5
11 Sandnes ULF 5 1 2 2 -1 5
12 Valerenga 5 1 2 2 -3 5
13 Asane 4 0 4 0 +0 4
14 Raufoss 5 1 1 3 -1 4
15 Aalesund 5 1 1 3 -6 4
16 Start 5 0 2 3 -7 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stabaek Kongsvinger
1–0 A. Andresen
18′
2–0 N. Næss
29′
3–0 B. Diabaté
32′
45′
🟥 H. Holter
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 M. Mbow
↦ V. Moberg
46′
🔁 R. Christiansen
↦ E. Taylor
4–0 B. Diabaté
51′
53′
🟨 M. Mbow
5–0 T. Roberts
53′
R. Vinge 🔁
↦ B. Diabaté
59′
B. Tobiassen 🔁
↦ M. Christensen
59′
K. Ekorness 🔁
↦ N. Walstad
59′
67′
🔁 M. Trengereid
↦ J. Nilsson
67′
🔁 A. Sandstad
↦ L. Haren
W. Wendt 🔁
↦ S. Olderheim
68′
H. Geelmuyden 🔁
↦ O. Spiten-Nysæter
71′
75′
🔁 J. Holtan
↦ L. Langrekken
77′
🟨 M. Trengereid
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Stabaek

1 S. Rossbach
4 N. Næss
2 K. Pedersen
19 F. Riise
11 N. Walstad
6 M. Christensen
14 T. Roberts
20 A. Andresen
17 S. Olderheim
9 B. Diabaté
21 O. Spiten-Nysæter
Bench (9)
7 R. Vinge
28 B. Tobiassen
29 K. Ekorness
27 W. Wendt
10 H. Geelmuyden
22 K. Opseth
23 M. Ulla
26 J. Nysveen
3 J. Øya

Coach: B. Bradley

Kongsvinger

1 A. Strömberg
2 J. Nilsson
3 R. Þorkelsson
5 F. Holmé
8 V. Moberg
6 H. Holter
14 L. Haren
20 J. Grundt
7 E. Taylor
22 L. Langrekken
11 N. Williams
Bench (9)
12 M. Mbow
28 R. Christiansen
16 M. Trengereid
48 A. Sandstad
18 J. Holtan
9 A. Güven
17 M. Gjerstrøm
19 E. Nielsen
31 M. Sayouba

Coach: J. Wennberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.