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Bundesliga
Referee: J Weinberger
BW Linz
U T U S S
3–2
Full-time
Tirol
U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

BW Linz Tirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,7
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
This season — Bundesliga · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 23%
21%
24%
Points per game
1,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
41%
45%
Both score Ø 47%
48%
45%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
1,0
0,9
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

45% Possession 55%
12 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 4
4 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match BW Linz 9. · Tirol 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 29 18 8 3 +31 62
2 Salzburg 29 18 7 4 +37 61
3 LASK 29 13 9 7 +14 48
4 Austria Vienna 30 11 10 9 +4 43
5 Hartberg 29 11 8 10 -2 41
6 SK Rapid 29 9 12 8 +12 39
7 A. Klagenfurt 29 9 12 8 -5 39
8 Wolfsberger AC 29 9 10 10 -5 37
9 BW Linz 29 6 11 12 -14 29
10 Altach 29 5 12 12 -13 27
11 Tirol 29 7 5 17 -22 26
12 A. Lustenau 30 3 8 19 -37 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Apr -24 Tirol – BW Linz 2–1 10. Dec -23 BW Linz – Tirol 1–2 2. Sep -23 Tirol – BW Linz 2–4

Match report

BW Linz Tirol
Simon Seidl ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
29′
1–0 Ronivaldo ⚽
S. Pirkl
31′
40′
⚽ N. Prelec 1–1
2–1 M. Maranda ⚽
42′
Half-time 2–1
M. Schantl 🔁
↦ D. Mitrović
46′
Fabio Strauss 🟨
50′
3–1 K. Dobras ⚽
F. Strauß
51′
58′
🟨 Bror Blume Jensen
62′
🟨 Osarenren Okungbowa
Kristijan Dobraš 🟨
63′
P. Mensah 🔁
↦ Ronivaldo
67′
67′
🔁 L. Kronberger
↦ D. Gugganig
67′
🔁 D. Tomic
↦ J. Naschberger
M. Ibrahimi 🔁
↦ K. Dobras
76′
L. Tursch 🔁
↦ F. Strauß
77′
77′
⚽ D. Tomic 3–2
N. Prelec
81′
🔁 K. Schulz
↦ T. Geris
81′
🔁 A. Buksa
↦ M. Diarra
83′
🟨 Lukas Sulzbacher
87′
🔁 S. Ogrinec
↦ B. Blume
Simon Seidl 🟨
90′
M. Krainz 🔁
↦ C. Noß
90′
93′
🟨 Felix Bacher
Marco Krainz 🟨
94′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

BW Linz

4-2-3-1
1 N. Schmid G
5 D. Mitrović D
15 M. Maranda D
2 F. Strauß D
8 S. Pirkl D
17 A. Pašić M
19 A. Briedl M
20 S. Seidl M
30 K. Dobras M
7 C. Noß M
9 Ronivaldo F
Bench (7)
28 M. Schantl
10 P. Mensah
29 M. Ibrahimi
23 L. Tursch
4 M. Krainz
12 A. Lukse
27 S. Haudum

Coach: G. Scheiblehner

Tirol

5-3-2
40 A. Stejskal G
6 L. Sulzbacher D
5 F. Bacher D
22 O. Okungbowa D
3 D. Gugganig D
28 T. Geris D
30 M. Taferner M
17 J. Naschberger M
10 B. Blume M
9 N. Prelec F
8 M. Diarra F
Bench (7)
7 L. Kronberger
18 D. Tomic
44 K. Schulz
11 A. Buksa
98 S. Ogrinec
1 P. Schermer
4 V. Müller

Coach: T. Silberberger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Weinberger · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.