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Bundesliga
Referee: D Pfister
A. Lustenau
S S T S U
2–2
Full-time
Ried
T T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

A. Lustenau Ried
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,8
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 26%
37%
15%
Points per game
1,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
52%
41%
Both score Ø 52%
52%
52%
Average goals
3,0
2,4
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
12 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match A. Lustenau 6. · Ried 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 27 19 7 1 +41 64
2 Sturm Graz 27 17 6 4 +24 57
3 LASK 27 13 10 4 +17 49
4 SK Rapid 27 11 5 11 +6 38
5 Austria Vienna 27 10 8 9 +4 38
6 A. Lustenau 27 10 7 10 -6 37
7 Tirol 27 9 6 12 -4 33
8 A. Klagenfurt 27 10 3 14 -15 33
9 Wolfsberger AC 28 9 5 14 -5 32
10 Hartberg 27 6 6 15 -19 24
11 Altach 28 5 8 15 -24 23
12 Ried 27 4 9 14 -19 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

A. Lustenau Ried
1–0 D. Grujčić
L. Fridrikas
42′
Half-time 1–1
50′
T. Plavotić 1–1
C. Lang
N. Motika 🔁
↦ S. Surdanović
72′
T. Rhein 🔁
↦ F. Gmeiner
72′
2–1 L. Fridrikas
Y. Diaby
73′
75′
🔁 G. Diomandé
↦ B. Beganovic
75′
🔁 M. Ziegl
↦ M. Lackner
T. Berger 🔁
↦ D. Grujčić
80′
M. Cheukoua 🔁
↦ Y. Diaby
80′
81′
🔁 J. Wießmeier
↦ D. Madritsch
81′
🔁 M. Gragger
↦ D. Ungar
C. Türkmen 🔁
↦ D. Tiefenbach
82′
Anderson 🟨
84′
Domenik Schierl 🟨
91′
96′
G. Diomandé 2–2
C. Lang
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

A. Lustenau

3-4-1-2
27 D. Schierl G
31 M. Maak D
5 J. Hugonet D
6 D. Grujčić D
28 Anderson M
23 P. Grabher M
33 D. Tiefenbach M
7 F. Gmeiner M
70 S. Surdanović F
20 L. Fridrikas F
22 Y. Diaby F
Bench (7)
10 N. Motika
16 T. Rhein
4 T. Berger
11 M. Cheukoua
8 C. Türkmen
35 Adriel
13 A. Helac

Coach: M. Mader

Ried

3-4-3
1 S. Şahin-Radlinger G
66 D. Ungar D
6 M. Lackner D
24 T. Plavotić D
77 A. Lutovac M
8 M. Martin M
29 D. Madritsch M
3 R. Jurišić M
71 C. Lang F
9 S. Chabbi F
14 B. Beganovic F
Bench (7)
45 G. Diomandé
4 M. Ziegl
10 J. Wießmeier
15 M. Gragger
25 L. Kronberger
33 J. Wendlinger
19 J. Turi

Coach: M. Senft

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Pfister · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.