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Pro League
Referee: L D'hondt
Club Brugge
S S U S T
1–2
Full-time
St. Gilloise
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Club Brugge St. Gilloise
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
2,5
1,7
Conceded
0,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 65%
55%
74%
Points per game
1,9
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
52%
71%
Both score Ø 55%
39%
71%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,8
2,1
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

71% Possession 29%
10 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Club Brugge 5. · St. Gilloise 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 31 23 6 2 +49 75
2 Antwerp 31 23 4 4 +39 73
3 St. Gilloise 31 23 4 4 +29 73
4 Gent 31 18 5 8 +35 59
5 Club Brugge 31 17 7 7 +28 58
6 Charleroi 35 16 6 13 +2 54
7 Anderlecht 35 15 7 13 +11 52
8 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 36 14 9 13 +12 51
9 Cercle Brugge 31 13 11 7 +10 50
10 St Truiden 36 13 9 14 -1 48
11 Standard 30 13 6 11 +4 45
12 Westerlo 31 11 10 10 +4 43
13 Mechelen 35 11 7 17 -18 40
14 Kortrijk 36 10 7 19 -22 37
15 Waregem 36 7 10 19 -26 31
16 Eupen 36 8 7 21 -36 31
17 Oostende 36 7 7 22 -40 28
18 Seraing 34 5 5 24 -40 20
19 Seraing United 34 5 5 24 -40 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Club Brugge St. Gilloise
41′
V. Boniface 0–1
S. Van der Heyden
Half-time 0–2
46′
L. Amani 0–2
T. Teuma
C. Talbi 🔁
↦ C. Sandra
55′
Raphael Onyedika 🟨
57′
A. Nusa 🔁
↦ M. Rits
68′
R. Vermant 🔁
↦ Ferran Jutglà
68′
73′
🔁 G. Nilsson
↦ S. Adingra
D. Odoi 🔁
↦ J. Spileers
78′
A. Sylla 🔁
↦ N. Lang
78′
83′
🟨 Siebe Van Der Heyden
Romeo Vermant 🟨
85′
86′
🔁 O. El Azzouzi
↦ L. Amani
Hans Vanaken 🟨
90′
90′
🔁 Y. Vertessen
↦ V. Boniface
Denis Odoi 🟨
93′
93′
🟨 Anthony Moris
1–2 H. Vanaken
A. Sylla
93′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Club Brugge

4-2-3-1
22 S. Mignolet G
77 Clinton Mata D
44 B. Mechele D
58 J. Spileers D
14 B. Meijer D
26 M. Rits M
15 R. Onyedika M
98 C. Sandra M
20 H. Vanaken M
10 N. Lang M
9 Ferran Jutglà F
Bench (7)
68 C. Talbi
32 A. Nusa
76 R. Vermant
6 D. Odoi
94 A. Sylla
33 N. Shinton
64 K. Sabbe

Coach: R. De Mil

St. Gilloise

3-5-2
49 A. Moris G
59 I. Kandouss D
16 C. Burgess D
44 S. Van der Heyden D
2 B. Nieuwkoop M
8 L. Amani M
20 S. Lynen M
10 T. Teuma M
94 L. Lapoussin M
7 V. Boniface F
11 S. Adingra F
Bench (7)
29 G. Nilsson
6 O. El Azzouzi
18 Y. Vertessen
28 K. Machida
23 Cameron Puertas
14 J. Imbrechts
17 C. Terho

Coach: K. Geraerts

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,54
U
3,34
B ✓
2,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,91
U2,5
1,89
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L D'hondt · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.