Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Lorient
Paris FC
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris SG
|
27 | 20 | 3 | 4 | +38 | +35.0 | 63 |
| 2 |
Lens
|
28 | 19 | 2 | 7 | +27 | +16.8 | 59 |
| 3 |
Lille
|
28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +11 | +13.7 | 50 |
| 4 |
Marseille
|
27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | +19 | +10.5 | 49 |
| 5 |
Lyon
|
28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | +12 | +6.9 | 48 |
| 6 |
Rennes
|
28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | +7 | +0.9 | 47 |
| 7 |
Monaco
|
27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | +9 | +8.5 | 46 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
|
28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | +12 | +12.5 | 43 |
| 9 |
Toulouse
|
28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | +4 | +3.0 | 37 |
| 10 |
Lorient
|
27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | -4 | -2.5 | 37 |
| 11 |
Brest
|
28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -6 | -2.5 | 36 |
| 12 |
Angers
|
28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | -13 | -18.8 | 33 |
| 13 |
Paris FC
|
27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | -11 | -13.0 | 31 |
| 14 |
Le Havre
|
27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | -13 | -10.7 | 27 |
| 15 |
Nice
|
28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -22 | -15.8 | 27 |
| 16 |
Auxerre
|
27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -14 | -7.8 | 22 |
| 17 |
Nantes
|
26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | -21 | -13.5 | 17 |
| 18 |
Metz
|
27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | -35 | -23.0 | 14 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Y. Mvogo
G
B. Meite
D
M. Talbi
D
A. Faye
D
T. Le Bris
M
N. Cadiou
M
A. Avom
M
A. Kouassi
M
J. Makengo
F
P. Pagis
F
Coach: Olivier Pantaloni
K. Trapp
G
A. Camara
D
D. Coppola
D
M. Mbow
D
P. Lees-Melou
M
M. Lopez
M
J. Ikone
M
M. Munetsi
M
M. Simon
M
W. Geubbels
F
Coach: Antoine Kombouare
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Toulouse
Lorient
Lorient
Lens
Lille
Lorient
Lorient
Nice
Lorient
Auxerre
G Angoula · 67 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.