La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Getafe
Ath Bilbao
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
30 | 25 | 1 | 4 | +51 | +38.0 | 76 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
30 | 22 | 3 | 5 | +36 | +32.5 | 69 |
| 3 |
Villarreal
|
29 | 18 | 4 | 7 | +20 | +9.8 | 58 |
| 4 |
Ath Madrid
|
30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | +20 | +10.7 | 57 |
| 5 |
Betis
|
30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | +7 | +10.9 | 45 |
| 6 |
Celta
|
29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | +6 | +4.1 | 41 |
| 7 |
Sociedad
|
30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | +1 | -1.0 | 41 |
| 8 |
Getafe
|
29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | -6 | -9.0 | 38 |
| 9 |
Espanol
|
30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | -8 | -2.6 | 38 |
| 10 |
Ath Bilbao
|
29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | -9 | +10.4 | 38 |
| 11 |
Osasuna
|
29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | -1 | -4.2 | 37 |
| 12 |
Vallecano
|
30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | -6 | +3.3 | 35 |
| 13 |
Valencia
|
29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -10 | +1.8 | 35 |
| 14 |
Girona
|
29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | -13 | -9.5 | 34 |
| 15 |
Alaves
|
29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | -11 | -5.0 | 31 |
| 16 |
Sevilla
|
29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | -12 | -18.2 | 31 |
| 17 |
Mallorca
|
30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | -12 | -17.4 | 31 |
| 18 |
Elche
|
30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -9 | -18.7 | 29 |
| 19 |
Levante
|
30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -16 | -15.6 | 26 |
| 20 |
Oviedo
|
29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -28 | -20.3 | 21 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
D. Soria
G
S. Boselli
D
Djene
D
Z. Romero
D
J. Iglesias
D
A. Liso
M
L. Milla
M
M. Satriano
M
L. Vazquez
F
Coach: Jose Bordalas Jimenez
U. Simon
G
Y. Alvarez
D
A. Laporte
D
Y. Berchiche
D
A. Rego
M
M. Jauregizar
M
I. Williams
M
O. Sancet
M
A. Berenguer
M
G. Guruzeta
F
Coach: Ernesto Valverde
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Espanol
Getafe
Ath Madrid
Getafe
Getafe
Betis
Real Madrid
Getafe
Getafe
Sevilla
J Martinez · 21 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.