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Eredivisie

Referee: Bas Nijhuis

Utrecht

U U T U S

1–2

Full-time

PSV Eindhoven

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht PSV Eindhoven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

1,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,7

4,2

Scored

1,3

3,0

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 15/16 matches

Win Ø 64%

40%

88%

Points per game

1,5

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

53%

75%

Both score Ø 65%

67%

63%

Average goals

2,9

4,4

Scored

1,7

3,1

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+1,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,37 xG 1,53

43% Possession 57%

17 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 8

5 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 12

2 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Utrecht 8. · PSV Eindhoven 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	16	14	1	1	+30	+14.4	43
2	Feyenoord	16	11	1	4	+21	+22.0	34
3	Nijmegen	17	8	5	4	+14	+5.6	29
4	Ajax	16	7	6	3	+8	+0.4	27
5	Groningen	15	8	2	5	+5	+9.4	26
6	AZ Alkmaar	15	7	4	4	+4	+9.3	25
7	Twente	16	6	6	4	+5	+14.8	24
8	Utrecht	15	6	4	5	+6	-2.8	22
9	Heerenveen	16	6	4	6	+3	+12.6	22
10	Sparta Rotterdam	16	6	2	8	-14	-6.6	20
11	Excelsior	16	6	1	9	-11	-10.5	19
12	Zwolle	17	5	4	8	-17	-14.4	19
13	Go Ahead Eagles	16	4	6	6	-3	-10.4	18
14	For Sittard	16	5	3	8	-5	-4.8	18
15	Telstar	17	3	6	8	-7	-7.6	15
16	Volendam	16	3	5	8	-11	-12.8	14
17	Heracles	17	4	2	11	-18	-12.1	14
18	NAC Breda	17	3	4	10	-10	-6.7	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	8	6	1	1	+13	+9.5	19
2	Feyenoord	8	6	0	2	+10	+13.5	18
3	Nijmegen	8	5	2	1	+11	+6.4	17
4	Utrecht	7	5	1	1	+10	+3.0	16
5	Ajax	8	5	1	2	+6	+4.6	16
6	Groningen	8	4	2	2	+7	+7.2	14
7	Twente	8	4	2	2	+2	+9.9	14
8	For Sittard	8	4	2	2	+2	+4.3	14
9	Zwolle	8	4	1	3	-4	-2.2	13
10	AZ Alkmaar	7	3	3	1	+3	+5.1	12
11	Volendam	8	3	3	2	+3	+0.4	12
12	Go Ahead Eagles	7	3	3	1	+3	-0.2	12
13	Heerenveen	8	3	3	2	+1	+8.8	12
14	Excelsior	9	4	0	5	-2	-5.5	12
15	NAC Breda	9	3	2	4	-1	+2.9	11
16	Sparta Rotterdam	9	3	2	4	-9	-3.8	11
17	Heracles	8	3	1	4	-3	-1.6	10
18	Telstar	9	1	4	4	-4	-0.0	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	0	0	+17	+4.9	24
2	Feyenoord	8	5	1	2	+11	+8.5	16
3	AZ Alkmaar	8	4	1	3	+1	+4.2	13
4	Nijmegen	9	3	3	3	+3	-0.8	12
5	Groningen	7	4	0	3	-2	+2.2	12
6	Ajax	8	2	5	1	+2	-4.2	11
7	Twente	8	2	4	2	+3	+4.9	10
8	Heerenveen	8	3	1	4	+2	+3.8	10
9	Sparta Rotterdam	7	3	0	4	-5	-2.7	9
10	Telstar	8	2	2	4	-3	-7.6	8
11	Excelsior	7	2	1	4	-9	-5.0	7
12	Utrecht	8	1	3	4	-4	-5.8	6
13	Go Ahead Eagles	9	1	3	5	-6	-10.1	6
14	Zwolle	9	1	3	5	-13	-12.2	6
15	For Sittard	8	1	1	6	-7	-9.1	4
16	Heracles	9	1	1	7	-15	-10.5	4
17	NAC Breda	8	0	2	6	-9	-9.6	2
18	Volendam	8	0	2	6	-14	-13.2	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.