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Super League
Referee: Anastasios Sidiropoulos
Levadeiakos
U U S S S
2–3
Full-time
PAOK
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Levadeiakos PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
2,2
2,8
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 12/11 matches
Win Ø 62%
50%
73%
Points per game
1,8
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
58%
64%
Both score Ø 52%
67%
36%
Average goals
3,6
2,7
Scored
2,4
2,1
Conceded
1,2
0,6
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

42% Possession 58%
13 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 5
6 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Levadeiakos 4. · PAOK 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 13 11 1 1 +21 34
2 AEK 12 9 1 2 +6 28
3 PAOK 11 8 2 1 +16 26
4 Levadeiakos 12 6 4 2 +15 22
5 Volos NFC 13 7 0 6 -2 21
6 Panathinaikos 11 5 4 2 +6 19
7 Aris Thessalonikis 12 4 4 4 -2 16
8 Aris 12 4 4 4 -2 16
9 Kifisia 13 4 3 6 -2 15
10 Panetolikos 13 4 3 6 -3 15
11 Asteras Tripolis 13 2 6 5 -3 12
12 OFI Crete 12 4 0 8 -8 12
13 Atromitos 13 2 3 8 -6 9
14 Larisa 13 1 4 8 -12 7
15 Panserraikos 13 1 3 9 -24 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Jan -25 PAOK – Levadeiakos 1–0 6. Oct -24 Levadeiakos – PAOK 0–2 30. Jan -23 PAOK – Levadeiakos 3–2 9. Oct -22 Levadeiakos – PAOK 1–1

Match report

Levadeiakos PAOK
1–0 I. Kosti ⚽
10′
30′
🟨 Tomasz Kędziora
45′
⚽ M. Ozdoev 1–1
L. Ivanusec
Half-time 2–1
2–1 B. Verbic ⚽
S. Palacios
50′
55′
⚽ M. Ozdoev 2–2
D. Lovren
60′
🔁 A. R. Baba
↦ G. Taylor
61′
🔁 G. Michailidis
↦ T. Kedziora
61′
🔁 K. Despodov
↦ L. Ivanusec
A. Tshibola 🔁
↦ G. Balzi
66′
73′
🔁 A. Bianco
↦ M. Ozdoev
77′
🟨 Dejan Lovren
77′
🟥 Soualiho Meïté
79′
ℹ️ Soualiho Meïté
VAR:
F. Pedrozo 🔁
↦ B. Verbic
83′
83′
🔁 M. Camara
↦
90′
⚽ G. Giakoumakis 2–3
Taison
G. Manthatis 🔁
↦ I. Kosti
92′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Levadeiakos

4-2-3-1
12 Y. Lodygin G
6 T. Tsapras D
24 P. Liagas D
32 H. Magnusson D
3 P. Vichos D
23 E. Cokaj M
18 I. Kosti M
34 S. Palacios M
11 G. Balzi M
77 B. Verbic M
9 A. Ozbolt F
Bench (12)
88 L. Anacker
2 G. Katris
4 J. Abu Hanna
14 G. Manthatis
22 T. Filon
37 G. Tsivelekidis
36 A. Tshibola
85 K. Goumas
19 L. Jallow
15 F. Pedrozo
31 P. Symelidis
21 S. Juric

Coach: Nikolaos Papadopoulos

PAOK

4-2-3-1
1 J. Pavlenka G
3 J. Kenny D
16 T. Kedziora D
6 D. Lovren D
32 G. Taylor D
27 M. Ozdoev M
8 S. Meite M
14 A. Zivkovic M
18 L. Ivanusec M
11 Taison M
7 G. Giakoumakis F
Bench (12)
99 A. Tsiftsis
88 L. Gugeshashvili
23 J. Sastre
4 A. Vogliacco
5 G. Michailidis
21 A. R. Baba
2 M. Camara
22 A. Bianco
52 D. Chatsidis
77 K. Despodov
9 F. Chalov
56 A. Mythou

Coach: Răzvan Lucescu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,16
🔒
U
3,53
🔒
B ✓
1,76
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,89
🔒
U2,5
1,81
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.