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Super League
Referee: K Tsetsilas
PAOK
S S S S S
4–0
Full-time
OFI Crete
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK OFI Crete
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
100%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
4,7
2,0
Scored
4,0
0,3
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+3,3
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 16/17 matches
Win Ø 47%
69%
24%
Points per game
2,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
69%
35%
Both score Ø 43%
38%
47%
Average goals
3,1
2,4
Scored
2,4
0,9
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

48% Possession 52%
17 Shots 14
9 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 1
7 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PAOK 2. · OFI Crete 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AEK 17 11 5 1 +18 38
2 PAOK 16 11 3 2 +28 36
3 Olympiakos 17 11 3 3 +24 36
4 Panathinaikos 16 11 1 4 +28 34
5 Asteras Tripolis 18 8 2 8 -5 26
6 Aris Thessalonikis 16 7 3 6 +3 24
7 Aris 16 7 3 6 +3 24
8 Lamia 18 6 6 6 -8 24
9 Atromitos 16 4 7 5 -7 19
10 OFI Crete 17 4 6 7 -9 18
11 Panserraikos 16 3 5 8 -13 14
12 Volos NFC 17 3 5 9 -17 14
13 Kifisia 16 2 6 8 -18 12
14 Panetolikos 16 2 5 9 -15 11
15 Giannina 16 1 6 9 -12 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Sep -23 OFI Crete – PAOK 1–0 14. Jan -23 PAOK – OFI Crete 0–0 18. Sep -22 OFI Crete – PAOK 1–1 15. Jan -22 PAOK – OFI Crete 3–0 3. Oct -21 OFI Crete – PAOK 1–3

Match report

PAOK OFI Crete
21′
🟨 Praxitelis Vouros
30′
🟨 Juan Angel Neira
36′
🟨 Vasilis Lampropoulos
1–0 K. Despodov ⚽
A. Baba
39′
2–0 A. Baba ⚽
41′
Half-time 2–0
63′
🔁 H. Mosquera
↦ M. Bakić
63′
🔁 G. Þórarinsson
↦ Adrián Riera
M. Ozdoev 🔁
↦ T. Tsingaras
66′
Taison 🔁
↦ G. Konstantelias
66′
74′
🔁 N. Dicko
↦ J. Neira
S. Meïté 🔁
↦ S. Schwab
76′
Brandon Thomas 🔁
↦ M. Samatta
77′
Joan Sastre 🟨
83′
Marcos Antônio 🔁
↦ T. Murg
86′
3–0 Marcos Antônio ⚽
K. Despodov
89′
4–0 Brandon Thomas ⚽
K. Despodov
92′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

PAOK

4-2-3-1
42 D. Kotarski G
23 Joan Sastre D
15 W. Troost-Ekong D
5 G. Michailidis D
21 A. Baba D
6 T. Tsingaras M
22 S. Schwab M
77 K. Despodov M
10 T. Murg M
7 G. Konstantelias M
33 M. Samatta F
Bench (9)
27 M. Ozdoev
11 Taison
8 S. Meïté
71 Brandon Thomas
88 Marcos Antônio
3 I. Näsberg
16 T. Kędziora
20 Vieirinha
18 Ž. Živković

Coach: R. Lucescu

OFI Crete

4-2-3-1
33 N. Baumann G
2 E. Larsson D
14 P. Vouros D
24 V. Lampropoulos D
99 L. Abanda D
29 M. Mellado M
88 M. Bakić M
21 Jon Toral M
10 J. Neira M
23 Adrián Riera M
28 Luiz Phellype F
Bench (9)
30 H. Mosquera
22 G. Þórarinsson
11 N. Dicko
4 T. Pasalidis
46 G. Theodosoulakis
80 T. Koutentakis
18 K. Giannoulis
32 D. Sotiriou
77 I. Simantirakis

Coach: Pepe Mel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,23
🔒
U
6,01
🔒
B
10,73
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,55
🔒
U2,5
2,37
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

K Tsetsilas · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,45 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.