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Europa League
Referee: H Osmers
Aris
T S S U T
1–3
Full-time
Sparta Praha
S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Sparta Praha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
29%
43%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
71%
71%
Both score Ø 79%
86%
71%
Average goals
3,9
3,0
Scored
1,9
1,6
Conceded
2,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

1,22 xG 2,22
53% Possession 47%
18 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 9
7 Blocked shots 0
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Sep -23 Sparta Praha – Aris 3–2

Match report

Aris Sparta Praha
3′
🟨 Ladislav Krejčí
4′
⚽ J. Kuchta 0–1
L. Haraslín
11′
⚽ V. Birmančević 0–2
K. Kairinen
36′
🔁 T. Wiesner
↦ Á. Preciado
Half-time 0–3
46′
⚽ V. Birmančević 0–3
Q. Laçi
F. Brorsson 🔁
↦ A. Moucketou-Moussounda
46′
J. Montnor 🔁
↦ Y. Gomis
65′
M. Brown 🔁
↦ J. Szöke
65′
66′
🔁 A. Karabec
↦ L. Haraslín
66′
🔁 P. Vydra
↦ A. Sørensen
M. Špoljarić 🔁
↦ M. Mayambela
76′
Cajú 🟨
77′
78′
🔁 V. Olatunji
↦ J. Kuchta
78′
🔁 J. Pešek
↦ V. Birmančević
M. Stępiński 🔁
↦ A. Kokorin
84′
1–3 L. Bengtsson ⚽
J. Montnor
84′
Morgan Brown 🟨
86′
87′
🟨 Kaan Kairinen
Franz Brorsson 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Aris

3-5-2
1 Vaná G
20 S. Yago D
5 A. Moucketou-Moussounda D
72 S. Urošević D
21 M. Mayambela M
23 K. Struski M
37 J. Szöke M
14 Y. Gomis M
3 Caju M
9 A. Kokorin F
7 L. Bengtsson F
Bench (9)
31 F. Brorsson
66 J. Montnor
8 M. Brown
10 M. Špoljarić
11 M. Stępiński
12 A. Dimitriou
80 S. Babicka
90 E. Sofroniou
78 K. Chrysostomou

Coach: A. Shpilevskiy

Sparta Praha

3-4-2-1
1 P. Vindahl G
41 M. Vitík D
25 A. Sørensen D
37 L. Krejčí D
2 Á. Preciado M
20 Q. Laçi M
6 K. Kairinen M
30 J. Zelený M
14 V. Birmančević F
22 L. Haraslín F
9 J. Kuchta F
Bench (12)
28 T. Wiesner
10 A. Karabec
26 P. Vydra
7 V. Olatunji
21 J. Pešek
32 M. Ryneš
8 D. Pavelka
24 V. Vorel
39 V. Sejk
29 M. Ševčík
18 L. Sadílek
5 J. Gomez

Coach: B. Priske

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

H Osmers · 139 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.