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Super League
Referee: Miguel Garcia Godinho
PAOK
S S S S S
1–1
Full-time
Olympiakos
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
3,5
1,2
Scored
3,0
1,2
Conceded
0,5
0,0
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+1,2
This season — Super League · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 71%
63%
79%
Points per game
1,9
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
63%
47%
Both score Ø 45%
47%
42%
Average goals
3,2
2,1
Scored
2,1
1,6
Conceded
1,1
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%
13 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PAOK 3. · Olympiakos 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 19 15 4 0 +22 49
2 AEK 20 12 3 5 +14 39
3 PAOK 19 12 1 6 +19 37
4 Panathinaikos 21 10 3 8 +14 33
5 Giannina 21 9 6 6 +9 33
6 Aris Thessalonikis 19 9 5 5 +4 32
7 Aris 19 9 5 5 +4 32
8 Asteras Tripolis 20 8 5 7 +3 29
9 OFI Crete 22 6 10 6 -1 28
10 Volos NFC 20 7 3 10 -7 24
11 Panetolikos 21 6 3 12 -18 21
12 Ionikos 21 5 5 11 -9 20
13 Lamia 21 4 7 10 -8 19
14 Apollon 20 1 8 11 -23 11
15 Atromitos 19 2 4 13 -23 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PAOK Olympiakos
30′
🟨 Mady Camara
Andrija Živković 🟨
33′
35′
🟨 Sokratis
Léo Jabá 🔁
↦ D. Biseswar
40′
0–1 O. Ba
own goal
41′
43′
Tiquinho Soares 0–2
M. Camara
Half-time 0–2
Jasmin Kurtić 🟨
46′
46′
🟨 Ousseynou Ba
46′
🔁 K. Lala
↦ T. Androutsos
46′
🔁 A. Bouchalakis
↦ O. Ba
66′
🟨 Oleg Reabciuk
A. Mitriță 🔁
↦ C. Tsingaras
66′
Sidcley 🔁
↦ Vieirinha
66′
84′
🟨 Aguibou Camara
S. Schwab 🔁
↦ J. Kurtič
87′
Joan Sastre 🔁
↦ L. Lyratzis
87′
87′
🔁 Y. El-Arabi
↦ Tiquinho Soares
90′
🔁 M. Vrousai
↦ G. Masouras
José Ángel Crespo 🟨
94′
94′
🔁 M. Valbuena
↦ A. Camara
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

PAOK

4-2-3-1
31 A. Paschalakis G
15 José Crespo D
4 S. Ingason D
19 L. Lyratzis D
21 D. Biseswar M
20 Vieirinha M
27 J. Kurtič M
8 Douglas Augusto M
51 C. Tsingaras M
14 A. Živković F
47 C. Akpom F
Bench (9)
11 Léo Jabá
28 A. Mitriță
16 Sidcley
22 S. Schwab
23 Joan Sastre
10 T. Murg
88 Ž. Živković
49 G. Michailidis
29 A. Čolak

Coach: R. Lucescu

Olympiakos

3-4-3
1 T. Vaclík G
15 S. Papastathopoulos D
40 K. Manolas D
45 O. Reabciuk D
24 O. Ba D
6 Y. M'Vila M
19 G. Masouras M
14 T. Androutsos D
4 M. Camara M
22 A. Camara M
29 Tiquinho Soares F
Bench (9)
27 K. Lala
5 A. Bouchalakis
11 Y. El-Arabi
28 M. Valbuena
17 M. Vrousai
88 K. Tzolakis
77 Garry Rodrigues
21 B. Fadiga
34 A. Papadopoulos

Coach: Pedro Martins

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,59
U ✓
3,15
B
2,71
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,28
U2,5 ✓
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.