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Super League
Referee: A Diamantopoulos
Panathinaikos
U S S T T
2–1
Full-time
Panetolikos
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Panetolikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,8
1,3
Scored
1,0
0,2
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,0
This season — Super League · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 10%
20%
0%
Points per game
0,9
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 10%
10%
10%
Both score Ø 30%
30%
30%
Average goals
1,6
1,6
Scored
0,7
0,3
Conceded
0,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

54% Possession 46%
5 Shots 2
5 Shots on target 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
5 Offside 4
30 Free kicks against 13
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panathinaikos 10. · Panetolikos 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 9 8 1 0 +16 25
2 Aris Thessalonikis 8 6 1 1 +6 19
3 Aris 8 6 1 1 +6 19
4 PAOK 8 5 3 0 +9 18
5 AEK 7 5 1 1 +9 16
6 Atromitos 10 3 4 3 -4 13
7 Volos NFC 9 3 3 3 -1 12
8 Asteras Tripolis 9 3 3 3 -1 12
9 Giannina 10 2 4 4 -1 10
10 Panathinaikos 10 2 3 5 -2 9
11 OFI Crete 9 2 3 4 -3 9
12 Larisa 8 1 3 4 -6 6
13 Apollon 9 1 2 6 -7 5
14 Panetolikos 10 0 4 6 -10 4
15 Lamia 8 0 2 6 -11 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panathinaikos Panetolikos
1–0 F. Macheda
F. Sánchez
19′
Sotiris Alexandropoulos 🟨
37′
1–1 G. Liavas
own goal
43′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 N. Vergos
↦ M. Azadi
54′
🟨 Angelos Tsingaras
59′
🟨 Gboly Ariyibi
60′
🔁 A. Tahar
↦ F. Mazurek
60′
🔁 Frederico Duarte
↦ A. Jakoliš
Y. Ayoub 🔁
↦ Carlitos López
67′
70′
🔁 J. Mendoza
↦ G. Ariyibi
A. Kampetsis 🔁
↦ F. Macheda
78′
Y. Mollo 🔁
↦ Aitor Cantalapiedra
78′
Lucas Villafanez 🟨
79′
80′
🔁 P. Medina
↦ M. Tzanakakis
D. Serpezis 🔁
↦ Maurício
84′
I. Bouzoukis 🔁
↦ L. Villafáñez
84′
Achilleas Poungouras 🟨
86′
Giannis Bouzoukis 🟨
86′
Facundo Sánchez 🟨
89′
94′
J. Mendoza 1–2
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

4-4-1-1
1 S. Dioudis G
14 F. Sánchez D
5 B. Schenkeveld D
44 A. Poungouras D
47 V. Zagaritis D
19 L. Villafáñez M
88 Maurício M
55 S. Alexandropoulos M
9 F. Macheda F
10 Carlitos López F
22 Aitor Cantalapiedra F
Bench (9)
8 Y. Ayoub
99 A. Kampetsis
58 Y. Mollo
20 D. Serpezis
18 I. Bouzoukis
4 Fran Vélez
3 Juan Carlos
15 V. Xenopoulos
77 S. Tzavidas

Coach: L. Bölöni

Panetolikos

4-2-3-1
1 C. Knett G
27 M. Tzanakakis D
54 G. Liavas D
66 A. Konstantopoulos D
92 A. Jakoliš M
11 J. Díaz M
7 F. Mazurek M
10 Dálcio M
8 M. Azadi F
37 A. Tsigaras M
12 G. Ariyibi M
Bench (9)
29 N. Vergos
6 A. Tahar
14 Frederico Duarte
30 J. Mendoza
2 P. Medina
15 J. Álvarez
5 J. Arzura
22 N. Melissas
25 V. Skiadas

Coach: T. Dellas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,38
U
4,35
B
8,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,15
U2,5
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Diamantopoulos · 73 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.