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Super League
Referee: T Stieler
AEK
U T S S T
1–1
Full-time
PAOK
U S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
2,2
1,0
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
0,8
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
This season — Super League · 3/4 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
33%
25%
Both score Ø 13%
0%
25%
Average goals
2,0
1,5
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
0,3
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%
2 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 2
4 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AEK 7. · PAOK 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aris Thessalonikis 5 4 1 0 +5 13
2 Aris 5 4 1 0 +5 13
3 Olympiakos 4 3 1 0 +9 10
4 Volos NFC 6 3 1 2 +2 10
5 PAOK 4 2 2 0 +4 8
6 Asteras Tripolis 4 2 1 1 +0 7
7 AEK 3 2 0 1 +4 6
8 OFI Crete 5 1 3 1 -2 6
9 Atromitos 5 1 2 2 -5 5
10 Giannina 4 0 3 1 -1 3
11 Apollon 3 1 0 2 -1 3
12 Panathinaikos 5 0 2 3 -3 2
13 Panetolikos 4 0 2 2 -4 2
14 Larisa 4 0 1 3 -4 1
15 Lamia 5 0 0 5 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,77
U ✓
3,05
B
2,57
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,01
U2,5 ✓
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Stieler · 148 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.