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Super League

Referee: O Grinfeld

PAOK

S S S T T

1–0

Full-time

AEK

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

4,2

2,3

Scored

2,7

1,8

Conceded

1,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+1,3

This season — Super League · 19/18 matches

Win Ø 57%

63%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

68%

50%

Both score Ø 60%

63%

56%

Average goals

3,4

2,8

Scored

2,2

1,7

Conceded

1,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%

6 Shots 4

3 Shots on target 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

9 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

20 Free kicks against 24

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 2

The table before the match PAOK 2. · AEK 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	19	14	5	0	+32	47
2	PAOK	19	12	5	2	+18	41
3	AEK	18	9	5	4	+10	32
4	OFI Crete	20	8	3	9	+5	27
5	Larisa	20	7	6	7	-1	27
6	Aris	18	6	8	4	+9	26
7	Aris Thessalonikis	18	6	8	4	+9	26
8	Atromitos	19	7	5	7	+0	26
9	Xanthi	19	8	2	9	-7	26
10	Volos NFC	20	7	3	10	-16	24
11	Panathinaikos	19	5	8	6	-7	23
12	Lamia	19	5	8	6	-9	23
13	Asteras Tripolis	19	5	3	11	-4	18
14	Panionios	18	3	4	11	-17	13
15	Panetolikos	19	1	5	13	-22	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	9	8	1	0	+17	25
2	OFI Crete	10	7	1	2	+12	22
3	PAOK	9	6	3	0	+12	21
4	AEK	10	6	3	1	+11	21
5	Aris	9	5	2	2	+11	17
6	Aris Thessalonikis	9	5	2	2	+11	17
7	Volos NFC	10	5	2	3	+0	17
8	Atromitos	10	4	4	2	+6	16
9	Larisa	10	4	3	3	+2	15
10	Asteras Tripolis	9	4	2	3	+4	14
11	Xanthi	10	4	2	4	+1	14
12	Lamia	9	3	5	1	-1	14
13	Panathinaikos	9	3	3	3	+0	12
14	Panionios	10	2	3	5	-2	9
15	Panetolikos	9	1	3	5	-7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	10	6	4	0	+15	22
2	PAOK	10	6	2	2	+6	20
3	Larisa	10	3	3	4	-3	12
4	Xanthi	9	4	0	5	-8	12
5	AEK	8	3	2	3	-1	11
6	Panathinaikos	10	2	5	3	-7	11
7	Atromitos	9	3	1	5	-6	10
8	Aris	9	1	6	2	-2	9
9	Aris Thessalonikis	9	1	6	2	-2	9
10	Lamia	10	2	3	5	-8	9
11	Volos NFC	10	2	1	7	-16	7
12	OFI Crete	10	1	2	7	-7	5
13	Asteras Tripolis	10	1	1	8	-8	4
14	Panionios	8	1	1	6	-15	4
15	Panetolikos	10	0	2	8	-15	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.