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Super League
Referee: P Zachariadis
Panathinaikos
S U U U T
3–0
Full-time
Panionios
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Panionios
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,2
2,7
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
0,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,3
This season — Super League · 19/18 matches
Win Ø 22%
26%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
32%
44%
Both score Ø 46%
42%
50%
Average goals
2,1
2,5
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

72% Possession 28%
10 Shots 4
8 Shots on target 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panathinaikos 11. · Panionios 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 19 14 5 0 +32 47
2 PAOK 19 12 5 2 +18 41
3 AEK 18 9 5 4 +10 32
4 OFI Crete 20 8 3 9 +5 27
5 Larisa 20 7 6 7 -1 27
6 Aris 18 6 8 4 +9 26
7 Aris Thessalonikis 18 6 8 4 +9 26
8 Atromitos 19 7 5 7 +0 26
9 Xanthi 19 8 2 9 -7 26
10 Volos NFC 20 7 3 10 -16 24
11 Panathinaikos 19 5 8 6 -7 23
12 Lamia 19 5 8 6 -9 23
13 Asteras Tripolis 19 5 3 11 -4 18
14 Panionios 18 3 4 11 -17 13
15 Panetolikos 19 1 5 13 -22 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panathinaikos Panionios
11′
🟨 Costas Doumtsios
1–0 C. Donis
14′
24′
🔁 T. Papageorgiou
↦ G. Masouras
Ghayas Zahid 🟨
38′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 F. Macheda
G. Zahid
46′
58′
🔁 N. Milojević
↦ K. Doumtsios
61′
🟨 Giorgos Saramantas
3–0 E. Insúa
M. Johansson
64′
D. Kolovos 🔁
↦ G. Zahid
70′
A. Kampetsis 🔁
↦ F. Macheda
73′
U. Bech 🔁
↦ I. Bouzoukis
73′
84′
🔁 F. Grivas
↦ G. Papanikolaou
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

4-4-1-1
1 S. Dioudis G
2 M. Johansson D
5 B. Schenkeveld D
3 E. Insúa D
44 A. Poungouras D
21 D. Kourmpelis M
10 G. Zahid M
8 C. Donis M
18 I. Bouzoukis M
11 T. Chatzigiovanis F
9 F. Macheda F
Bench (7)
7 D. Kolovos
99 A. Kampetsis
17 U. Bech
12 I. Chatzitheodoridis
19 J. Perea
30 João Nunes
15 V. Xenopoulos

Coach: G. Donis

Panionios

4-2-3-1
67 J. Malherbe G
5 Domingues D
3 G. Saramantas D
31 G. Masouras D
14 D. Stavropoulos D
18 V. Rentzas D
23 S. Tsiloulis M
16 I. Oikonomidis M
27 G. Papanikolaou M
9 K. Doumtsios F
19 G. Kiakos F
Bench (7)
22 T. Papageorgiou
44 N. Milojević
28 F. Grivas
12 M. Kotnik
4 S. Evangelou
40 C. Retsos
32 A. Miço

Coach: N. Papavasiliou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,38
U
4,31
B
8,44
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,14
U2,5
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Zachariadis · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
36,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,41 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.