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Süper Lig
Referee: M Erdoğan
Karagumruk
U T S T T
2–0
Full-time
Kayserispor
U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Kayserispor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
4,3
4,2
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
2,2
2,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,5
This season — Süper Lig · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 39%
33%
45%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
76%
73%
Both score Ø 63%
73%
52%
Average goals
4,0
3,4
Scored
2,1
1,6
Conceded
1,9
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

62% Possession 38%
21 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Karagumruk 9. · Kayserispor 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 33 25 4 4 +47 79
2 Fenerbahce 33 23 5 5 +43 74
3 Besiktas 34 22 8 4 +39 74
4 Ad. Demirspor 33 18 9 6 +29 63
5 Buyuksehyr 34 16 8 10 +14 56
6 Trabzonspor 33 15 6 12 +6 51
7 Konyaspor 33 12 13 8 +9 49
8 Kayserispor 33 15 4 14 -3 49
9 Karagumruk 33 11 11 11 +7 44
10 Alanyaspor 34 11 8 15 -10 41
11 Kasimpasa 33 11 7 15 -12 40
12 Ankaragücü 33 11 6 16 -7 39
13 Antalyaspor 33 10 8 15 -8 38
14 Sivasspor 34 10 7 17 -9 37
15 İstanbulspor 33 10 5 18 -21 35
16 Giresunspor 33 8 10 15 -19 34
17 Ümraniyespor 35 8 9 18 -9 33
18 Gaziantep 35 6 7 22 -38 25
19 Hatayspor 34 6 5 23 -58 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Karagumruk Kayserispor
8′
ℹ️ Yaw Ackah
VAR: Card upgrade
9′
🟥 Yaw Ackah
1–0 K. Frei
A. Bertolacci
16′
2–0 K. Frei
28′
Half-time 2–0
Andrea Bertolacci 🟨
57′
64′
🔁 M. Hosseini
↦ A. Kocaman
64′
🔁 B. Mensah
↦ Carlos Mané
E. Colley 🔁
↦ S. Lobzhanidze
74′
L. Nicholas 🔁
↦ A. Bertolacci
74′
Ibrahim Drešević 🟨
77′
A. Uğur 🔁
↦ S. Feghouli
81′
82′
🟨 Miguel Cardoso
84′
🔁 B. Gezek
↦ A. Karimi
86′
🟨 Bernard Mensah
88′
🔁 A. Uzodimma
↦ Miguel Cardoso
88′
🔁 T. Sarıarslan
↦ M. Thiam
S. Dursun 🔁
↦ D. Biraschi
91′
A. Ljajić 🔁
↦ M. Ozdoev
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Karagumruk

4-2-3-1
2 E. Viviano G
4 D. Biraschi D
99 R. Baniya D
5 I. Drešević D
18 L. Mercan D
91 A. Bertolacci M
27 M. Ozdoev M
7 S. Lobzhanidze M
89 S. Feghouli M
11 K. Frei M
9 M. Diagne F
Bench (10)
19 E. Colley
24 L. Nicholas
77 A. Uğur
54 S. Dursun
10 A. Ljajić
94 B. Darri
29 O. Shukurov
23 C. Kablan
6 Bruno Rodrigues
13 C. Kazim-Richards

Coach: A. Erdem

Kayserispor

4-4-2
25 B. Bayazıt G
11 G. Sazdağı D
3 J. Attamah D
4 D. Kolovetsios D
54 A. Kocaman D
10 O. Kemen M
89 Y. Ackah M
6 A. Karimi M
20 Carlos Mané M
7 Miguel Cardoso F
27 M. Thiam F
Bench (10)
5 M. Hosseini
43 B. Mensah
26 B. Gezek
80 A. Uzodimma
30 T. Sarıarslan
19 M. Gavranović
23 İ. Parlak
32 E. Balcı
28 R. Civelek
39 Ş. Öztürk

Coach: Ç. Atan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,99
U
4,13
B
3,15
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,36
U2,5 ✓
3,06
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Erdoğan · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.