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Conference League
Referee: S Sozza
AEK
S U S S U
0–2
Full-time
Celje
T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Celje
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
0,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 62%
62%
62%
Points per game
2,2
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
54%
69%
Both score Ø 50%
54%
46%
Average goals
2,9
3,3
Scored
2,1
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,92 xG 1,21
43% Possession 57%
14 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Corners 1
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Mar -26 Celje – AEK 0–4 2. Oct -25 Celje – AEK 3–1

Match report

AEK Celje
13′
⚽ N. Iosifov 0–1
S. Seslar
23′
🟨 Ivan Ćalušić
Mijat Gaćinović 🟨
37′
42′
⚽ R. Pozeg 0–2
Half-time 0–2
46′
🔁 M. Avdyli
↦ N. Iosifov
46′
🔁 D. Hrka
↦ Juanjo Nieto
N. Eliasson 🔁
↦ D. Kutesa
52′
P. Mantalos 🔁
↦ M. Gacinovic
53′
62′
🔁 M. Kvesic
↦ S. Seslar
66′
🔁 A. Kucys
↦ M. Poplatnik
77′
🔁 Z. Karnicnik
↦ I. Calusic
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

AEK

4-2-3-1
1 T. Strakosha G
12 L. Rota D
2 H. Moukoudi D
44 F. Relvas D
3 S. Pilios D
13 O. Pineda M
18 R. Marin M
8 M. Gacinovic M
11 A. Koita M
7 D. Kutesa M
9 L. Jovic F
Bench (11)
91 A. Brignoli
81 A. Angelopoulos
20 P. Mantalos
37 R. Pereyra
19 N. Eliasson
29 J. Penrice
21 D. Vida
25 B. Varga
90 Zini
15 M. Georgiev
17 D. Kaloskamis

Coach: Marko Nikolic

Celje

4-3-3
21 S. Sluga G
44 L. Bejger D
3 D. Vuklisevic D
6 A. Tutyskinas D
2 Juanjo Nieto D
10 S. Seslar M
13 P. Daniel M
27 I. Calusic M
20 N. Iosifov F
99 M. Poplatnik
94 R. Pozeg F
Bench (12)
1 Z. Leban
12 L. Kolar
23 Z. Karnicnik
11 M. Avdyli
47 A. Kucys
4 D. Hrka
29 S. Gobec
8 M. Kvesic
17 A. Kotnik
16 I. Vidovic
31 D. Suhovrsnik
7 F. Jevsenak

Coach: Vitor Campelos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Sozza · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.