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Süper Lig

Referee: S Arslanboğa

Kayserispor

S U S T T

2–4

Full-time

Karagumruk

T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kayserispor Karagumruk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,0

4,3

Scored

1,5

2,2

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

This season — Süper Lig · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 37%

47%

27%

Points per game

1,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

60%

73%

Both score Ø 60%

47%

73%

Average goals

2,6

3,9

Scored

1,4

1,9

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

65% Possession 35%

19 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 7

8 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kayserispor 8. · Karagumruk 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	16	11	2	3	+25	35
2	Galatasaray	15	10	3	2	+15	33
3	Buyuksehyr	15	9	3	3	+8	30
4	Ad. Demirspor	15	7	6	2	+10	27
5	Besiktas	15	7	5	3	+9	26
6	Trabzonspor	15	7	5	3	+2	26
7	Konyaspor	15	6	7	2	+7	25
8	Kayserispor	15	7	2	6	+3	23
9	Alanyaspor	16	5	6	5	-3	21
10	Giresunspor	15	5	4	6	-6	19
11	Gaziantep	15	4	5	6	-1	17
12	Karagumruk	15	4	4	7	-1	16
13	Ankaragücü	15	4	4	7	-4	16
14	Antalyaspor	15	5	1	9	-7	16
15	Hatayspor	16	4	4	8	-14	16
16	Kasimpasa	15	4	3	8	-13	15
17	Sivasspor	16	3	5	8	-6	14
18	Ümraniyespor	16	2	5	9	-10	11
19	İstanbulspor	15	3	2	10	-14	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	9	7	1	1	+15	22
2	Buyuksehyr	9	6	1	2	+5	19
3	Besiktas	8	5	2	1	+9	17
4	Alanyaspor	8	4	3	1	+5	15
5	Trabzonspor	7	4	3	0	+5	15
6	Ad. Demirspor	6	4	2	0	+6	14
7	Kayserispor	7	4	1	2	+4	13
8	Galatasaray	6	4	1	1	+3	13
9	Konyaspor	7	3	3	1	+2	12
10	Karagumruk	8	3	2	3	+4	11
11	Giresunspor	7	3	1	3	+0	10
12	Antalyaspor	9	3	1	5	-3	10
13	Gaziantep	6	2	3	1	+3	9
14	Hatayspor	7	2	3	2	-3	9
15	Sivasspor	9	1	5	3	-1	8
16	Ankaragücü	8	2	2	4	-2	8
17	Kasimpasa	8	2	1	5	-10	7
18	Ümraniyespor	9	1	2	6	-6	5
19	İstanbulspor	7	1	1	5	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Galatasaray	9	6	2	1	+12	20
2	Fenerbahce	7	4	1	2	+10	13
3	Konyaspor	8	3	4	1	+5	13
4	Ad. Demirspor	9	3	4	2	+4	13
5	Buyuksehyr	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	Trabzonspor	8	3	2	3	-3	11
7	Kayserispor	8	3	1	4	-1	10
8	Besiktas	7	2	3	2	+0	9
9	Giresunspor	8	2	3	3	-6	9
10	Ankaragücü	7	2	2	3	-2	8
11	Kasimpasa	7	2	2	3	-3	8
12	Gaziantep	9	2	2	5	-4	8
13	İstanbulspor	8	2	1	5	-4	7
14	Hatayspor	9	2	1	6	-11	7
15	Ümraniyespor	7	1	3	3	-4	6
16	Antalyaspor	6	2	0	4	-4	6
17	Sivasspor	7	2	0	5	-5	6
18	Alanyaspor	8	1	3	4	-8	6
19	Karagumruk	7	1	2	4	-5	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.