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Europa League
Referee: Irfan Peljto
Lyon
T U U U U
0–2
Full-time
Celta
S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 9/11 matches
Win Ø 67%
78%
55%
Points per game
2,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
33%
73%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
82%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
2,1
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,24 xG 1,49
35% Possession 65%
4 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 8
0 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 6
3 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 5
2 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Mar -26 Celta – Lyon 1–1

Match report

Lyon Celta
Moussa Niakhaté 🟥
19′
33′
🟨 Williot Swedberg
43′
🟨 Carl Starfelt
Half-time 0–0
T. Tessmann 🔁
↦ R. Yaremchuk
46′
46′
🔁 J. Aidoo
↦ C. Starfelt
46′
🔁 H. Alvarez
↦ W. Swedberg
53′
🟨 Fer López
57′
🔁 I. Aspas
↦ P. Duran
57′
🔁 F. Jutgla
↦ F. Lopez
61′
⚽ J. Rueda 0–1
O. Mangala 🔁
↦ N. Nartey
67′
P. Sulc 🔁
↦ Endrick
67′
A. Moreira 🔁
↦ Abner Vinicius
67′
Nicolás Tagliafico 🟨
81′
81′
🔁 H. Sotelo
↦ M. Vecino
M. Fofana 🔁
↦ T. Morton
82′
83′
🟨 Javi Rodríguez
89′
🟨 Javier Rueda
90′
⚽ F. Jutgla 0–2
J. Rodriguez
Nicolás Tagliafico 🟨
96′
Nicolás Tagliafico 🟥
96′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Lyon

5-3-2
1 D. Greif G
60 S. Kango D
22 C. Mata D
19 M. Niakhate D
3 N. Tagliafico D
16 Abner Vinicius D
8 C. Tolisso M
23 T. Morton M
99 N. Nartey M
9 Endrick F
77 R. Yaremchuk F
Bench (11)
40 R. Descamps
62 Y. Konan
6 T. Tessmann
11 M. Fofana
44 K. Merah
84 A. Hamdani
5 O. Mangala
10 P. Sulc
7 A. Karabec
17 A. Moreira
39 M. de Carvalho

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Celta

4-3-3
13 I. Radu G
32 J. Rodriguez D
2 C. Starfelt D
20 M. Alonso D
5 S. Carreira D
30 F. Lopez M
15 M. Vecino M
6 I. Moriba M
17 J. Rueda F
18 P. Duran F
19 W. Swedberg F
Bench (12)
1 I. Villar
39 J. El Abdellaoui
12 M. Fernandez
36 A. Antanon
10 I. Aspas
21 M. Ristic
4 J. Aidoo
9 F. Jutgla
14 A. Nunez
24 C. Dominguez
22 H. Sotelo
23 H. Alvarez

Coach: Claudio Giraldez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.