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Europa League
Referee: Michael Oliver
Freiburg
S T U T T
5–1
Full-time
Genk
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 9/13 matches
Win Ø 59%
56%
62%
Points per game
1,9
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
22%
54%
Both score Ø 44%
33%
54%
Average goals
1,7
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,8
Conceded
0,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,41 xG 1,74
46% Possession 54%
15 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 7
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Mar -26 Genk – Freiburg 1–0

Match report

Freiburg Genk
1–0 M. Ginter ⚽
V. Grifo
19′
2–0 I. Matanovic ⚽
M. Ginter
25′
Igor Matanović 🟨
30′
39′
⚽ M. Smets 2–1
K. Karetsas
Jan-Niklas Beste 🟨
44′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 Y. Sor
↦ N. Adedeji-Sternberg
3–1 V. Grifo ⚽
53′
4–1 Y. Suzuki ⚽
J. Manzambi
56′
Johan Manzambi 🟨
58′
Vincenzo Grifo 🟨
58′
58′
🟨 Daan Heymans
64′
🟨 Ibrahima Sory Bangoura
69′
🔁 R. Mirisola
↦ A. Bibout
69′
🔁 J. Ito
↦ I. Bangoura
69′
🔁 Y. Medina
↦ J. Kayembe
L. Holer 🔁
↦ J. Beste
71′
P. Osterhage 🔁
↦ I. Matanovic
72′
D. Scherhant 🔁
↦ V. Grifo
72′
Lucas Höler 🟨
75′
5–1 M. Eggestein ⚽
Y. Suzuki
79′
P. Lienhart 🔁
↦ J. Manzambi
81′
L. Kubler 🔁
↦ P. Treu
83′
83′
🔁 N. Sattlberger
↦ D. Heymans
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Freiburg

4-2-3-1
1 N. Atubolu G
29 P. Treu D
28 M. Ginter D
43 B. Ogbus D
33 J. Makengo D
8 M. Eggestein M
44 J. Manzambi M
19 J. Beste M
14 Y. Suzuki M
32 V. Grifo M
31 I. Matanovic F
Bench (12)
21 F. Muller
24 J. Huth
27 N. Hofler
17 L. Kubler
9 L. Holer
26 M. Philipp
30 C. Gunter
5 A. Jung
3 P. Lienhart
6 P. Osterhage
7 D. Scherhant
22 C. Irie

Coach: Julian Schuster

Genk

4-2-3-1
26 T. Lawal G
27 K. Nkuba D
44 J. Kongolo D
6 M. Smets D
18 J. Kayembe D
8 B. Heynen M
21 I. Bangoura M
20 K. Karetsas M
38 D. Heymans M
32 N. Adedeji-Sternberg M
23 A. Bibout F
Bench (12)
1 H. Van Crombrugge
28 L. Brughmans
14 Y. Sor
24 N. Sattlberger
29 R. Mirisola
10 J. Ito
3 M. Sadick
99 J. Erabi
7 J. Steuckers
30 A. Yokoyama
34 A. Palacios
19 Y. Medina

Coach: Nicky Hayen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Michael Oliver · 163 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.