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Conference League
Referee: M Balakin
Strasbourg
U S U S U
1–1
Full-time
HNK Rijeka
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Strasbourg HNK Rijeka
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
0,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 61%
78%
44%
Points per game
2,6
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 56%
78%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,7
Scored
1,8
1,1
Conceded
0,9
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,11 xG 1,11
57% Possession 43%
15 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 8
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 8
4 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Mar -26 HNK Rijeka – Strasbourg 1–2

Match report

Strasbourg HNK Rijeka
21′
⚽ T. Fruk 0–1
A. Gojak
31′
🟨 Anel Husić
Half-time 0–1
S. Nanasi 🔁
↦ M. Godo
61′
62′
🔁 J. Lasickas
↦ M. Ndockyt
68′
🟨 Stjepan Radeljić
1–1 V. Barco ⚽
S. Nanasi
71′
M. Oyedele 🔁
↦ S. El Mourabet
73′
79′
🔁 S. Vignato
↦ A. Gojak
79′
🔁 A. Juric
↦ A. Husic
R. Luis 🔁
↦ J. Enciso
88′
88′
🔁 T. Morchiladze
↦ S. Radeljic
95′
🟨 Alfonso Barco
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Strasbourg

4-2-3-1
39 M. Penders G
24 L. Hogsberg D
2 A. Omobamidele D
6 I. Doukoure D
42 A. Ouattara D
29 S. El Mourabet M
32 V. Barco M
80 G. Yassine M
19 J. Enciso M
20 M. Godo M
9 J. Panichelli F
Bench (12)
1 K. Johnsson
60 G. Kerckaert
11 S. Nanasi
15 D. D. Fofana
8 M. Oyedele
17 M. Amougou
37 G. Kodia
27 S. Amo-Ameyaw
83 R. Luis
46 M. Marechal
43 Y. Becker
38 J. Bosey

Coach: Gary O'Neil

HNK Rijeka

4-1-3-2
13 M. Zlomislic G
22 A. Orec D
51 A. Husic D
6 S. Radeljic D
34 M. Devetak D
55 A. Barco M
20 M. Ndockyt M
26 T. Dantas M
14 A. Gojak M
10 T. Fruk F
18 D. Adu Adjei F
Bench (11)
99 A. Todorovic
21 J. Jurcevic
23 J. Lasickas
7 T. Morchiladze
9 D. Cop
8 D. Petrovic
19 S. Vignato
11 G. Rukavina
77 A. Juric
91 N. Bodetic
25 D. Thaqi

Coach: Victor Sanchez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Balakin · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
16,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.