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Süper Lig
Referee: O Ergün
Galatasaray
S U U U S
4–0
Full-time
Antalyaspor
U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray Antalyaspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 58%
81%
35%
Points per game
2,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
77%
58%
Both score Ø 64%
69%
58%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
2,5
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,4
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

4,06 xG 0,40
61% Possession 39%
23 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Galatasaray 1. · Antalyaspor 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 26 21 5 0 +37 +23.8 68
2 Fenerbahce 25 19 4 2 +40 +31.7 61
3 Samsunspor 26 15 5 6 +14 +10.7 50
4 Besiktas 25 12 8 5 +14 +13.0 44
5 Eyüpspor 26 12 7 7 +11 +0.1 43
6 Goztep 25 10 6 9 +10 +14.2 36
7 Buyuksehyr 25 10 6 9 +7 +6.6 36
8 Gaziantep 25 10 5 10 +0 -6.2 35
9 Rizespor 26 10 3 13 -10 +3.8 33
10 Antalyaspor 26 9 6 11 -17 -12.3 33
11 Trabzonspor 25 8 8 9 +9 -1.3 32
12 Kasimpasa 26 7 11 8 -6 -1.2 32
13 Alanyaspor 26 8 7 11 -8 -1.2 31
14 Konyaspor 26 7 7 12 -8 -8.0 28
15 Sivasspor 26 7 6 13 -11 -15.8 27
16 Bodrumspor 26 7 6 13 -11 -1.4 27
17 Kayserispor 25 6 9 10 -18 -5.3 27
18 Hatayspor 25 3 7 15 -18 -20.5 16
19 Ad. Demirspor 26 2 4 20 -35 -30.6 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Galatasaray Antalyaspor
11′
🟨 Jakub Kałuziński
1–0 V. Osimhen
Álvaro Morata
30′
36′
🟨 Erdal Rakip
Davinson Sánchez ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
43′
2–0 Álvaro Morata
45′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 A. Gërxhaliu
↦ E. Uzunhan
46′
🔁 O. Petrusenko
↦ E. Rakip
3–0 V. Osimhen
B. Yılmaz
48′
4–0 V. Osimhen
Y. Akgün
52′
57′
🔁 A. Gaich
↦ R. Safouri
58′
🔁 A. Dursun
↦ S. Larsson
D. Mertens 🔁
↦ V. Osimhen
68′
M. Lemina 🔁
↦ L. Torreira
68′
R. Sallai 🔁
↦ Y. Akgün
68′
75′
🟨 Thalisson Kelven
K. Ayhan 🔁
↦ D. Sánchez
77′
B. Kutlu 🔁
↦ B. Yılmaz
83′
83′
🔁 B. Samudio
↦ S. Dikmen
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1
1 F. Muslera G
29 P. Frankowski D
6 D. Sánchez D
42 A. Bardakcı D
17 E. Elmalı D
34 L. Torreira M
20 Gabriel Sara M
11 Y. Akgün M
77 Álvaro Morata M
53 B. Yılmaz M
45 V. Osimhen F
Bench (10)
10 D. Mertens
99 M. Lemina
7 R. Sallai
23 K. Ayhan
18 B. Kutlu
24 E. Jelert
30 Y. Demir
50 J. Yılmaz
8 K. Demirbay
90 M. Baltacı

Coach: O. Buruk

Antalyaspor

5-4-1
13 K. Pirić G
7 B. Balcı D
89 V. Sarı D
2 Thalisson Kelven D
14 E. Uzunhan D
22 S. van de Streek D
5 S. Dikmen M
6 E. Rakip M
18 J. Kałuziński M
8 R. Safouri M
10 S. Larsson F
Bench (10)
4 A. Gërxhaliu
16 O. Petrusenko
9 A. Gaich
77 A. Dursun
81 B. Samudio
27 M. Yılmaz
21 A. Yiğiter
58 D. Milošević
88 T. Özmert
23 H. İlçin

Coach: E. Belözoğlu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,24
U
6,52
B
10,04
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,32
U2,5
3,26
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

O Ergün · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.