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Champions League
Referee: I Kovács
Lille
T S T S U
2–1
Full-time
Fenerbahce
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,7
2,7
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
15 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Lille Fenerbahce
9′
🟨 Edin Džeko
0–1 J. Oosterwolde ⚽
own goal
12′
Half-time 0–1
Tiago Santos 🟨
46′
46′
🟨 Ferdi Kadıoğlu
70′
🔁 İ. Kahveci
↦ A. Saint-Maximin
70′
🔁 O. Aydın
↦ D. Tadić
E. Zhegrova 🔁
↦ H. Haraldsson
71′
M. Bayo 🔁
↦ J. David
71′
Alexsandro Ribeiro 🟨
78′
79′
🔁 Y. En-Nesyri
↦ E. Džeko
79′
⚽ İ. Kahveci 0–2
85′
🔁 A. Djiku
↦ R. Krunić
O. Sahraoui 🔁
↦ Tiago Santos
86′
1–2 E. Zhegrova ⚽
M. Bayo
91′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Lille

4-4-1-1
30 L. Chevalier G
12 T. Meunier D
18 B. Diakité D
4 Alexsandro Ribeiro D
5 G. Gudmundsson D
22 Tiago Santos M
21 B. André M
8 A. Gomes M
7 H. Haraldsson M
10 R. Cabella F
9 J. David F
Bench (12)
23 E. Zhegrova
27 M. Bayo
11 O. Sahraoui
37 V. Burlet
29 E. Mbappé
35 U. Raghouber
24 A. Ilić
16 L. Olmeta
17 N. Mukau
1 V. Mannone
2 A. Mandi
36 O. Touré

Coach: B. Génésio

Fenerbahce

4-3-3
40 D. Livaković G
16 M. Müldür D
2 Ç. Söyüncü D
24 J. Oosterwolde D
7 F. Kadıoğlu D
53 S. Szymański M
5 İ. Yüksek M
33 R. Krunić M
10 D. Tadić F
9 E. Džeko F
97 A. Saint-Maximin F
Bench (12)
17 İ. Kahveci
70 O. Aydın
19 Y. En-Nesyri
6 A. Djiku
21 B. Osayi-Samuel
95 Y. Akçiçek
28 B. Elmaz
30 İ. Eğribayat
26 M. Zajc
8 M. Yandaş
50 Rodrigo Becão
23 C. Tosun

Coach: José Mourinho

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Kovács · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.