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Süper Lig
Referee: D Tonusluoğlu
Pendikspor
T U S S U
2–1
Full-time
Ad. Demirspor
U T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pendikspor Ad. Demirspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
1,3
Scored
1,8
0,5
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 26%
22%
30%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
52%
52%
Both score Ø 64%
70%
57%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,34 xG 1,32
45% Possession 55%
17 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 7
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 6
1 Offside 3
20 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pendikspor 18. · Ad. Demirspor 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 24 20 3 1 +45 +43.4 63
2 Galatasaray 24 20 3 1 +36 +32.2 63
3 Trabzonspor 23 11 4 8 +7 -2.5 37
4 Besiktas 23 11 3 9 +2 +9.8 36
5 Rizespor 24 10 6 8 -6 -4.6 36
6 Antalyaspor 24 8 10 6 +4 +2.7 34
7 Buyuksehyr 24 9 6 9 +3 -1.1 33
8 Kasimpasa 23 9 5 9 -4 -8.3 32
9 Ad. Demirspor 23 7 10 6 +7 -1.4 31
10 Kayserispor 24 8 7 9 -5 -7.0 31
11 Sivasspor 24 7 9 8 -7 -5.1 30
12 Ankaragücü 24 6 11 7 +2 -2.7 29
13 Hatayspor 24 6 10 8 -1 -0.4 28
14 Alanyaspor 23 6 9 8 -7 +3.9 27
15 Samsunspor 24 7 5 12 -8 +1.8 26
16 Karagumruk 24 6 6 12 -1 -10.3 24
17 Gaziantep 24 6 6 12 -9 -10.8 24
18 Pendikspor 23 5 8 10 -17 -8.1 23
19 Konyaspor 24 4 10 10 -14 -12.7 22
20 İstanbulspor 24 3 5 16 -27 -18.9 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pendikspor Ad. Demirspor
Mehmet Umut Nayir 🟨
-5′
1–0 A. Diaby
M. Thiam
11′
2–0 U. Nayir
M. Thiam
22′
Halil Akbunar 🟨
43′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 A. Dursun
↦ M. Nourani
46′
🔁 T. Aydoğan
↦ Y. Barası
Welinton 🔁
↦ A. Diaby
62′
Joher Khadim Rassoul 🟨
66′
67′
🔁 O. Demirbag
↦ N. Alioui
67′
🔁 Nani
↦ A. Aymbetov
70′
🟨 Édouard Michut
Halil Akbunar 🟥
72′
L. Kappel 🔁
↦ F. Midtsjø
77′
E. Çekiçi 🔁
↦ U. Nayir
77′
77′
🔁 D. Toköz
↦ E. Akbaba
M. Akça 🔁
↦ M. Thiam
87′
100′
0 Nani 2–1
T. Aydoğan
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Pendikspor

4-2-2-2
1 E. Canpolat G
61 S. Asan D
33 A. Öztürk D
14 J. Rassoul D
6 Nuno Sequeira D
58 G. Kaya M
18 F. Midtsjø M
11 H. Akbunar M
21 A. Diaby M
17 U. Nayir F
27 M. Thiam F
Bench (10)
23 Welinton
7 L. Kappel
8 E. Çekiçi
13 M. Akça
78 E. Çalık
35 B. Öğür
70 M. Güney
99 E. Yardımcı
20 B. Sülüngöz
25 E. Sayhan

Coach: Ivo Vieira

Ad. Demirspor

4-3-3
71 Ş. Məhəmmədəliyev G
2 İ. Çokçalış D
5 A. Gravillon D
66 P. Cissé D
32 Y. Erdoğan D
8 E. Akbaba M
20 É. Michut M
10 N. Alioui M
77 M. Nourani F
17 A. Aymbetov F
56 Y. Barası F
Bench (10)
3 A. Dursun
6 T. Aydoğan
60 O. Demirbag
30 Nani
26 D. Toköz
15 J. Manev
21 A. Burak
29 F. Shehu
39 V. Karakuş
24 B. Ersoy

Coach: H. Karaman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,23
U
3,57
B
2,96
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,69
U2,5
2,15
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Tonusluoğlu · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.