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Conference League
Referee: A Stavrev
Fenerbahce
U S T S S
4–0
Full-time
Spartak Trnava
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Spartak Trnava
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 55%
82%
27%
Points per game
2,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
82%
64%
Both score Ø 69%
55%
82%
Average goals
3,9
3,0
Scored
2,7
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

4,14 xG 0,37
66% Possession 34%
21 Shots 7
10 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
9 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Oct -23 Spartak Trnava – Fenerbahce 1–2

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Stavrev · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.